Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Lens vs Marseille prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 1, matchday 10: the Lens vs Marseille match is scheduled on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Lens start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Marseille are given 27% and the draw 23%.
Over their last 5 matches, Lens have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Marseille have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Lens score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Marseille score 2.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Lens sit 7th with 13 points from 8 games, Marseille 8th with 12 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Lens have averaged 1.54 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.47 for Marseille.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Lens, 3 for Marseille and 0 draws. The most recent ended Marseille 3-1 Lens (Jan 24, 2026). Lens out or doubtful: N. Celik, J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, M. Nawrocki and A. Sima. Marseille: D. Cornelius. In double chance terms, "Lens or draw" stands at 73%, "Marseille or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lens
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
Marseille
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Le Havre · Ligue 1 | 4-3 | W |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angers · Ligue 1 | 5-2 | W |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| Marseille | 8 | 12 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Marseille 3-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Lens 2-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Marseille 0-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Lens 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Marseille 2-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Lens
- N. Celik (out)
- J. Chavez (out)
- O. Edouard (out)
- I. Ganiou (out)
- M. Nawrocki (out)
- A. Sima (out)
Marseille
- D. Cornelius (out)
Most regular starters
Lens
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Risser5/5
- F. Thauvin4/5
- M. Cuisance4/5
- M. Udol4/5
- R. Aguilar4/5
- A. Haidara3/5
- F. Sotoca3/5
- I. Ganiou3/5
- K. Antonio3/5
- S. Baidoo3/5
- F. Ivanović2/5
Marseille
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Emerson4/5
- A. Gouiri3/5
- H. Abdelli3/5
- Igor Paixão3/5
- J. de Lange3/5
- N. Aguerd3/5
- T. Nnadi3/5
- T. Weah3/5
- A. Gomes2/5
- A. Harit2/5
- B. Meité2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Toulouse – StrasbourgNov 6, 2026
- Auxerre – Paris FCNov 7, 2026
- Paris Saint Germain – Estac TroyesNov 7, 2026
- Rennes – LilleNov 8, 2026
- Angers – NiceNov 8, 2026
- Le Havre – LorientNov 8, 2026
- Stade Brestois 29 – LyonNov 8, 2026
- Le Mans – MonacoNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lens vs Marseille prediction?
Our AI gives Lens a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marseille 27%. Lens are therefore favourites.
When and where is Lens vs Marseille played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 10. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
What form are Lens and Marseille in?
Lens: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Marseille: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Marseille?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Lens, 3 for Marseille and 0 draws. The most recent ended Marseille 3-1 Lens (Jan 24, 2026).