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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Friday, November 6, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 10: Toulouse vs Strasbourg kicks off on Friday, November 6, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse. Our model makes Toulouse clear favourites: a 68% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 12% for Strasbourg.

Over their last 5 matches, Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Strasbourg have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 11. Toulouse therefore arrive in far better shape than Strasbourg. On average Toulouse score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Strasbourg score 0.80 and concede 2.20. In the table, Toulouse sit 11th with 10 points from 8 games, Strasbourg 16th with 7 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Toulouse have averaged 1.39 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.01 for Strasbourg.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Toulouse, 0 for Strasbourg and 0 draws. The most recent ended Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse (May 3, 2026). Toulouse out or doubtful: M. Niflore (doubtful), S. Oppong (doubtful) and R. Messali. Strasbourg: S. Amo-Ameyaw (doubtful), F. Balde (doubtful), I. Doukoure (doubtful), S. Nanasi (doubtful) and J. Panichelli. In double chance terms, "Toulouse or draw" stands at 88%, "Strasbourg or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

68%
Toulouse (Win)
20%
Draw
12%
Strasbourg (Win)

Double chance

88%
Toulouse or draw
32%
Strasbourg or draw
80%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Toulouse

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 10-0D
Oct 16, 2026Le Mans · Ligue 13-0W
Oct 10, 2026Monaco · Ligue 12-2D
Oct 3, 2026PAU · Club Friendlies2-3L
Sep 19, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 13-2W

Strasbourg

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Rennes · Ligue 10-3L
Oct 17, 2026Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 11-3L
Oct 11, 2026Nice · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 19, 2026Paris FC · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 12, 2026Monaco · Ligue 11-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Toulouse11108
Strasbourg1678

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Strasbourg 1-2 ToulouseLigue 1
Dec 6, 2025Toulouse 1-0 StrasbourgLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Toulouse

  • M. Niflore (doubtful)
  • S. Oppong (doubtful)
  • R. Messali (out)

Strasbourg

  • S. Amo-Ameyaw (doubtful)
  • F. Balde (doubtful)
  • I. Doukoure (doubtful)
  • S. Nanasi (doubtful)
  • J. Panichelli (out)

Most regular starters

Toulouse

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Tengstedt4/4
  • G. Restes4/4
  • J. Russell-Rowe4/4
  • M. McKenzie4/4
  • R. Messali4/4
  • C. Casseres3/4
  • C. Tape3/4
  • N. Sigur3/4
  • T. Jorgensen3/4
  • I. Azizi2/4
  • R. Nicolaisen2/4

Strasbourg

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Antwi5/5
  • J. Mitchell5/5
  • Oso5/5
  • F. Jorgensen4/5
  • G. Reyna4/5
  • G. Yassine4/5
  • C. Harder3/5
  • D. Sousa3/5
  • P. Demba3/5
  • D. Essugo2/5
  • I. Doukoure2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction?

Our AI gives Toulouse a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Strasbourg 12%. Toulouse are therefore favourites.

When and where is Toulouse vs Strasbourg played?

Friday, November 6, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 10. Venue: Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.

What form are Toulouse and Strasbourg in?

Toulouse: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Strasbourg: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 11 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Strasbourg?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Toulouse, 0 for Strasbourg and 0 draws. The most recent ended Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse (May 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained