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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction: correct score and AI tips

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain–Estac TroyesEstac Troyes

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 10: Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes kicks off on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris. With a 95% win probability, Paris Saint Germain go in as strong favourites against Estac Troyes (1%), with the draw rated at 4%.

Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 6. Estac Troyes have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Paris Saint Germain. On average Paris Saint Germain score 3.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Estac Troyes score 0.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, Paris Saint Germain sit 1st with 17 points from 8 games, Estac Troyes 17th with 5 points from 8. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Paris Saint Germain have averaged 2.71 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.90 for Estac Troyes.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Paris Saint Germain, 0 for Estac Troyes and 1 draw. The most recent ended Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain (May 7, 2023). Paris Saint Germain out or doubtful: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos and N. Mendes. Estac Troyes: I. Boura, Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji and Y. Titi. In double chance terms, "Paris Saint Germain or draw" stands at 99%, "Estac Troyes or draw" at 5% and "no draw" at 96%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

95%
Paris Saint Germain (Win)
4%
Draw
1%
Estac Troyes (Win)

Double chance

99%
Paris Saint Germain or draw
5%
Estac Troyes or draw
96%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Paris Saint Germain

DateOpponentScore
Oct 26, 2026Lyon · Ligue 12-0W
Oct 20, 2026Barcelona · UEFA Champions League4-2W
Oct 17, 2026Strasbourg · Ligue 13-1W
Oct 14, 2026Manchester City · UEFA Champions League4-2W
Oct 10, 2026Le Mans · Ligue 13-1W

Estac Troyes

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 10-0D
Oct 17, 2026Lens · Ligue 11-3L
Oct 11, 2026Marseille · Ligue 10-2L
Oct 2, 2026Dijon · Club Friendlies2-2D
Sep 19, 2026Angers · Ligue 10-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Paris Saint Germain1178
Estac Troyes1758

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 7, 2023Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Oct 29, 2022Paris Saint Germain 4-3 Estac TroyesLigue 1
May 8, 2022Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1
Aug 7, 2021Estac Troyes 1-2 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Mar 3, 2018Estac Troyes 0-2 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Paris Saint Germain

  • O. Dembele (out)
  • K. Kvaratskhelia (out)
  • A. Longoni (out)
  • Marquinhos (out)
  • N. Mendes (out)

Estac Troyes

  • I. Boura (out)
  • Y. Kone (out)
  • A. Ouzenadji (out)
  • Y. Titi (out)

Most regular starters

Paris Saint Germain

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Hakimi4/5
  • M. Safonov4/5
  • D. Doué3/5
  • Fabián Ruiz3/5
  • João Neves3/5
  • M. Akliouche3/5
  • Vitinha3/5
  • W. Pacho3/5
  • Ferran Torres2/5
  • I. Zabarnyi2/5
  • Marquinhos2/5

Estac Troyes

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Maronnier3/5
  • M. Diop3/5
  • R. Ripart3/5
  • T. Nkada3/5
  • A. Mille2/5
  • A. Monfray2/5
  • Adrien Monfray2/5
  • Antoine Mille2/5
  • D. Karim2/5
  • Iron Gomis2/5
  • Jérémy Le Douaron2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction?

Our AI gives Paris Saint Germain a 95% chance of winning, the draw 4% and Estac Troyes 1%. Paris Saint Germain are therefore favourites.

When and where is Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes played?

Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 10. Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris.

What form are Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes in?

Paris Saint Germain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 6 conceded). Estac Troyes: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Paris Saint Germain, 0 for Estac Troyes and 1 draw. The most recent ended Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain (May 7, 2023).

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Key terms explained