Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Lens vs Toulouse prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 1, matchday 11: Lens vs Toulouse kicks off on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Lens 38%, Toulouse 37% and the draw 25%.
Lens have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 16. Over their last 5 matches, Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Toulouse. On average Lens score 0.80 and concede 3.20 goals per game; Toulouse score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Lens sit 11th with 13 points from 10 games, Toulouse 12th with 13 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Lens have averaged 1.31 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.46 for Toulouse.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Lens, 1 for Toulouse and 1 draw. The most recent ended Lens 4-1 Toulouse (Apr 21, 2026). Lens out or doubtful: J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, I. Jourdren, M. Nawrocki and A. Sima. Toulouse: A. Donnum (suspended), R. Messali and M. Niflore (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Lens or draw" stands at 63%, "Toulouse or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lens
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Como · UEFA Champions League | 1-9 | L |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lille · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League | 0-3 | L |
Toulouse
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Strasbourg · Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| Toulouse | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Lens 4-1 Toulouse | Coupe de France |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Lens 3-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Toulouse 0-3 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Toulouse 1-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Lens 0-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Lens
- J. Chavez (out)
- O. Edouard (out)
- I. Ganiou (out)
- I. Jourdren (out)
- M. Nawrocki (out)
- A. Sima (out)
Toulouse
- A. Donnum (suspended)
- R. Messali (out)
- M. Niflore (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Lens
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Haidara5/5
- M. Udol5/5
- R. Risser5/5
- S. Baidoo5/5
- F. Thauvin4/5
- M. Cuisance4/5
- R. Aguilar4/5
- T. Hazard4/5
- F. Sotoca3/5
- J. Todibo3/5
- Saud Abdulhamid3/5
Toulouse
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Tengstedt5/5
- G. Restes5/5
- M. McKenzie5/5
- J. Russell-Rowe4/5
- N. Sigur4/5
- R. Nicolaisen4/5
- C. Cásseres3/5
- C. Tapé3/5
- R. Messali3/5
- T. Jørgensen3/5
- A. Dønnum2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Estac Troyes – Le HavreNov 20, 2026
- Nice – Paris Saint GermainNov 21, 2026
- Lille – LyonNov 21, 2026
- Monaco – AuxerreNov 21, 2026
- Strasbourg – Stade Brestois 29Nov 21, 2026
- Paris FC – AngersNov 22, 2026
- Lorient – RennesNov 22, 2026
- Marseille – Le MansNov 22, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lens vs Toulouse prediction?
Our AI gives Lens a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Toulouse 37%. Lens are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Lens vs Toulouse played?
Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 11. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
What form are Lens and Toulouse in?
Lens: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 16 conceded). Toulouse: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Toulouse?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Lens, 1 for Toulouse and 1 draw. The most recent ended Lens 4-1 Toulouse (Apr 21, 2026).