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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: correct score and AI tips

NiceNice–Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 11: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time). Venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice. With a 64% win probability, Paris Saint Germain go in as strong favourites against Nice (20%), with the draw rated at 16%.

Over their last 5 matches, Nice have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 18 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Paris Saint Germain. On average Nice score 2.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Paris Saint Germain score 3.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Nice sit 6th with 17 points from 10 games, Paris Saint Germain 1st with 23 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Nice have averaged 1.74 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.71 for Paris Saint Germain.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Nice, 3 for Paris Saint Germain and 1 draw. The most recent ended Nice 0-4 Paris Saint Germain (Mar 21, 2026). Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and N. Mendes. In double chance terms, "Nice or draw" stands at 36%, "Paris Saint Germain or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20%
Nice (Win)
16%
Draw
64%
Paris Saint Germain (Win)

Double chance

36%
Nice or draw
80%
Paris Saint Germain or draw
84%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Nice

DateOpponentScore
Nov 8, 2026Angers · Ligue 12-0W
Oct 30, 2026Rennes · Ligue 15-2W
Oct 23, 2026Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 12-1W
Oct 18, 2026Lyon · Ligue 11-2L
Oct 11, 2026Strasbourg · Ligue 12-1W

Paris Saint Germain

DateOpponentScore
Nov 7, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 11-0W
Nov 3, 2026Villarreal · UEFA Champions League6-0W
Oct 30, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 15-1W
Oct 26, 2026Lyon · Ligue 12-0W
Oct 20, 2026Barcelona · UEFA Champions League4-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Nice61710
Paris Saint Germain12310

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Nice 0-4 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Nov 1, 2025Paris Saint Germain 1-0 NiceLigue 1
Apr 25, 2025Paris Saint Germain 1-3 NiceLigue 1
Oct 6, 2024Nice 1-1 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
May 15, 2024Nice 1-2 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Nice

No absences reported.

Paris Saint Germain

  • O. Dembele (out)
  • K. Kvaratskhelia (out)
  • Marquinhos (out)
  • N. Mendes (out)

Most regular starters

Nice

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Wahi4/5
  • J. Clauss4/5
  • M. Amoura4/5
  • Mohamed Abdelmonem4/5
  • N. Nkounkou4/5
  • Y. Diouf4/5
  • Y. Ndayishimiye4/5
  • D. Coulibaly3/5
  • H. Boudaoui3/5
  • A. Seidu2/5
  • A. Witsel2/5

Paris Saint Germain

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Safonov5/5
  • A. Hakimi4/5
  • I. Zabarnyi4/5
  • Vitinha4/5
  • W. Pacho4/5
  • Ferran Torres3/5
  • M. Akliouche3/5
  • W. Zaïre-Emery3/5
  • D. Doue2/5
  • D. Doué2/5
  • F. Ruiz2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Nice vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?

Our AI gives Nice a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paris Saint Germain 64%. Paris Saint Germain are therefore favourites.

When and where is Nice vs Paris Saint Germain played?

Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 11. Venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice.

What form are Nice and Paris Saint Germain in?

Nice: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded). Paris Saint Germain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Paris Saint Germain?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Nice, 3 for Paris Saint Germain and 1 draw. The most recent ended Nice 0-4 Paris Saint Germain (Mar 21, 2026).

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Key terms explained