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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 22, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Marseille vs Le Mans prediction: correct score and AI tips

MarseilleMarseille–Le MansLe Mans

Match analysis

Marseille take on Le Mans on Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a Ligue 1, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. With a 83% win probability, Marseille go in as strong favourites against Le Mans (5%), with the draw rated at 12%.

Over their last 5 matches, Marseille have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Le Mans have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Recent momentum is clearly with Marseille. On average Marseille score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Le Mans score 0.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Marseille sit 4th with 18 points from 10 games, Le Mans 15th with 8 points from 10. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Marseille have averaged 1.44 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.98 for Le Mans.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Marseille and Le Mans: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Marseille out or doubtful: D. Cornelius and Emerson (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Marseille or draw" stands at 95%, "Le Mans or draw" at 17% and "no draw" at 88%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

83%
Marseille (Win)
12%
Draw
5%
Le Mans (Win)

Double chance

95%
Marseille or draw
17%
Le Mans or draw
88%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Marseille

DateOpponentScore
Nov 8, 2026Lens · Ligue 12-1W
Nov 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Nov 1, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 12-0W
Oct 25, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 14-3W
Oct 22, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League0-1L

Le Mans

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 10-2L
Oct 25, 2026Auxerre · Ligue 11-1D
Oct 16, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 10-3L
Oct 10, 2026Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 11-3L
Oct 2, 2026Guingamp · Club Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Marseille41810
Le Mans15810

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Marseille and Le Mans: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Marseille

  • D. Cornelius (out)
  • Emerson (doubtful)

Le Mans

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Marseille

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Gouiri5/5
  • J. de Lange5/5
  • N. Aguerd5/5
  • C. Egan-Riley4/5
  • H. Abdelli4/5
  • Igor Paixão4/5
  • P. Højbjerg4/5
  • T. Weah4/5
  • A. Harit3/5
  • T. Nnadi3/5
  • U. Garcia3/5

Le Mans

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Bretelle4/4
  • L. Mafouta4/4
  • N. Kocik4/4
  • S. Yohou4/4
  • A. Lauray3/4
  • H. Diallo3/4
  • L. Calodat3/4
  • A. Rabillard2/4
  • H. Voyer2/4
  • J. Vercruysse2/4
  • L. Buadés2/4

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Marseille vs Le Mans prediction?

Our AI gives Marseille a 83% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Le Mans 5%. Marseille are therefore favourites.

When and where is Marseille vs Le Mans played?

Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 11. Venue: Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.

What form are Marseille and Le Mans in?

Marseille: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Le Mans: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded).

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