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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, November 13, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction: correct score and AI tips

BulgariaBulgaria–IcelandIceland

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the Bulgaria vs Iceland match is scheduled on Friday, November 13, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). With a 89% win probability, Iceland go in as strong favourites against Bulgaria (4%), with the draw rated at 7%.

Bulgaria have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Iceland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Iceland. On average Bulgaria score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Iceland score 1.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Bulgaria sit 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, Iceland 1st with 8 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Bulgaria have averaged 1.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.98 for Iceland.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bulgaria, 1 for Iceland and 0 draws. The most recent ended Iceland 3-0 Bulgaria (Oct 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "Bulgaria or draw" stands at 11%, "Iceland or draw" at 96% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

4%
Bulgaria (Win)
7%
Draw
89%
Iceland (Win)

Double chance

11%
Bulgaria or draw
96%
Iceland or draw
93%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bulgaria

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Luxembourg · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Oct 3, 2026Iceland · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Sep 29, 2026Estonia · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 26, 2026Luxembourg · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Jun 5, 2026Moldova · International Friendlies2-2D

Iceland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Estonia · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Oct 3, 2026Bulgaria · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Sep 29, 2026Luxembourg · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Sep 26, 2026Estonia · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Jun 10, 2026Argentina · International Friendlies0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bulgaria344
Iceland184

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Iceland 3-0 BulgariaUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

Bulgaria

No absences reported.

Iceland

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Bulgaria

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Naumov4/5
  • D. Velkovski4/5
  • G. Rusev4/5
  • I. Gruev4/5
  • I. Turitsov4/5
  • L. Petkov4/5
  • E. Tsenov3/5
  • K. Dimitrov3/5
  • S. Velkov3/5
  • Z. Dimitrov3/5
  • A. Chandarov2/5

Iceland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • H. Haraldsson5/5
  • I. Johannesson4/5
  • M. E. Ellertsson4/5
  • O. Oskarsson4/5
  • D. L. Gretarsson3/5
  • H. R. Valdimarsson3/5
  • V. Palsson3/5
  • A. Gudjohnsen2/5
  • A. Gudmundsson2/5
  • H. Magnusson2/5
  • J. Thorsteinsson2/5

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Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction?

Our AI gives Bulgaria a 4% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Iceland 89%. Iceland are therefore favourites.

When and where is Bulgaria vs Iceland played?

Friday, November 13, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Bulgaria and Iceland in?

Bulgaria: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Iceland: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bulgaria and Iceland?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bulgaria, 1 for Iceland and 0 draws. The most recent ended Iceland 3-0 Bulgaria (Oct 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained