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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, November 13, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction: correct score and AI tips

LuxembourgLuxembourg–EstoniaEstonia

Match analysis

Luxembourg take on Estonia on Friday, November 13, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. With a 76% win probability, Estonia go in as strong favourites against Luxembourg (7%), with the draw rated at 17%.

Over their last 5 matches, Luxembourg have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Estonia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 3 and conceding 1. Recent momentum is clearly with Estonia. On average Luxembourg score 0.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Estonia score 0.60 and concede 0.20. In the table, Luxembourg sit 4th with 3 points from 4 games, Estonia 2nd with 6 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Luxembourg have averaged 0.56 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.60 for Estonia.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Luxembourg, 1 for Estonia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg (Oct 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "Luxembourg or draw" stands at 24%, "Estonia or draw" at 93% and "no draw" at 83%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

7%
Luxembourg (Win)
17%
Draw
76%
Estonia (Win)

Double chance

24%
Luxembourg or draw
93%
Estonia or draw
83%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Luxembourg

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Bulgaria · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Oct 3, 2026Estonia · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Sep 29, 2026Iceland · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Sep 26, 2026Bulgaria · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Jun 6, 2026Albania · International Friendlies1-0W

Estonia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Iceland · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Oct 3, 2026Luxembourg · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Sep 29, 2026Bulgaria · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 26, 2026Iceland · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Lithuania · Baltic Cup1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Luxembourg434
Estonia264

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Estonia 1-0 LuxembourgUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

Luxembourg

No absences reported.

Estonia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Luxembourg

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Carlson5/5
  • V. Thill5/5
  • A. Dardari4/5
  • A. Moris4/5
  • F. Bohnert4/5
  • T. de Sousa4/5
  • E. Mahmutovic3/5
  • H. Kadamani3/5
  • L. Jans3/5
  • D. Sinani2/5
  • E. Duarte2/5

Estonia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Kuusk4/5
  • M. Poom4/5
  • P. Kristal4/5
  • K. Hein3/5
  • K. Mets3/5
  • K. Palumets3/5
  • M. Kait3/5
  • M. Paskotsi3/5
  • M. Schjonning-Larsen3/5
  • R. Peetson3/5
  • R. Saarma3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction?

Our AI gives Luxembourg a 7% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estonia 76%. Estonia are therefore favourites.

When and where is Luxembourg vs Estonia played?

Friday, November 13, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Luxembourg and Estonia in?

Luxembourg: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded). Estonia: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 1 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Luxembourg and Estonia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Luxembourg, 1 for Estonia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg (Oct 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained