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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, November 13, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction: correct score and AI tips

MoldovaMoldova–KazakhstanKazakhstan

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: Moldova vs Kazakhstan kicks off on Friday, November 13, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). Moldova start as favourites with a 49% chance of victory; Kazakhstan are given 23% and the draw 28%.

Moldova have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Kazakhstan have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Moldova score 0.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Kazakhstan score 1.00 and concede 1.80. In the table, Moldova sit 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, Kazakhstan 4th with 2 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Moldova have averaged 1.02 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.10 for Kazakhstan.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Moldova, 2 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kazakhstan 0-1 Moldova (Mar 29, 2022). In double chance terms, "Moldova or draw" stands at 77%, "Kazakhstan or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Moldova (Win)
28%
Draw
23%
Kazakhstan (Win)

Double chance

77%
Moldova or draw
51%
Kazakhstan or draw
72%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Moldova

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Slovakia · UEFA Nations League0-4L
Oct 2, 2026Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Sep 29, 2026Faroe Islands · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Sep 26, 2026Slovakia · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Jun 9, 2026Armenia · International Friendlies1-1D

Kazakhstan

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026Moldova · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 29, 2026Slovakia · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 26, 2026Faroe Islands · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Hungary · International Friendlies1-3L
Jun 6, 2026Armenia · International Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Moldova344
Kazakhstan424

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2022Kazakhstan 0-1 MoldovaUEFA Nations League
Mar 24, 2022Moldova 1-2 KazakhstanUEFA Nations League
Feb 21, 2019Kazakhstan 1-0 MoldovaInternational Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Moldova

No absences reported.

Kazakhstan

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Moldova

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Celeadnic3/5
  • D. Forov3/5
  • M. Gherasimencov3/5
  • V. Baboglo3/5
  • V. Stina3/5
  • C. Cucos2/5
  • Dumitru Celeadnic2/5
  • I. Iovu2/5
  • Ioan-Calin Revenco2/5
  • Iurie Iovu2/5
  • Mihail Gherasimencov2/5

Kazakhstan

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • N. Alip5/5
  • D. Karaman4/5
  • G. Kenzhebek4/5
  • I. Kuat4/5
  • Y. Vorogovskiy4/5
  • A. Mrynskiy3/5
  • R. Orazov3/5
  • T. Erlanov3/5
  • Z. Amir3/5
  • A. Ashirbek2/5
  • A. Zarutskiy2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction?

Our AI gives Moldova a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kazakhstan 23%. Moldova are therefore favourites.

When and where is Moldova vs Kazakhstan played?

Friday, November 13, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Moldova and Kazakhstan in?

Moldova: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded). Kazakhstan: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Moldova and Kazakhstan?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Moldova, 2 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kazakhstan 0-1 Moldova (Mar 29, 2022).

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Key terms explained