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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Denmark vs Norway prediction: correct score and AI tips

DenmarkDenmark–NorwayNorway

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: Denmark vs Norway kicks off on Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Our model makes Denmark clear favourites: a 94% chance of winning, against 5% for the draw and 1% for Norway.

Over their last 5 matches, Denmark have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Norway have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Denmark therefore arrive in far better shape than Norway. On average Denmark score 1.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Norway score 1.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Denmark sit 2nd with 6 points from 4 games, Norway 4th with 3 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Denmark have averaged 2.20 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.57 for Norway.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Denmark, 0 for Norway and 0 draws. The most recent ended Denmark 3-1 Norway (Jun 8, 2024). In double chance terms, "Denmark or draw" stands at 99%, "Norway or draw" at 6% and "no draw" at 95%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

94%
Denmark (Win)
5%
Draw
1%
Norway (Win)

Double chance

99%
Denmark or draw
6%
Norway or draw
95%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Denmark

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Wales · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Oct 1, 2026Portugal · UEFA Nations League2-4L
Sep 27, 2026Wales · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Sep 24, 2026Norway · UEFA Nations League2-3L
Jun 7, 2026Ukraine · International Friendlies2-1W

Norway

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Portugal · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 1, 2026Wales · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 27, 2026Portugal · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 24, 2026Denmark · UEFA Nations League3-2W
Jul 11, 2026England · FIFA World Cup1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Denmark264
Norway434

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 8, 2024Denmark 3-1 NorwayInternational Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Denmark

No absences reported.

Norway

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Denmark

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Andersen3/5
  • J. Maehle3/5
  • P. Hojbjerg3/5
  • Gustav Isaksen2/5
  • Joachim Andersen2/5
  • Joakim Mæhle2/5
  • M. Damsgaard2/5
  • M. Hermansen2/5
  • M. Hjulmand2/5
  • Morten Hjulmand2/5
  • O. Provstgaard2/5

Norway

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Haaland5/5
  • K. Ajer5/5
  • S. Berge5/5
  • A. Schjelderup4/5
  • F. Aursnes4/5
  • J. Ryerson4/5
  • M. Ødegaard4/5
  • P. Berg4/5
  • T. Heggem4/5
  • A. Nusa3/5
  • Ø. Nyland3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Denmark vs Norway prediction?

Our AI gives Denmark a 94% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Norway 1%. Denmark are therefore favourites.

When and where is Denmark vs Norway played?

Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Denmark and Norway in?

Denmark: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded). Norway: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Denmark and Norway?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Denmark, 0 for Norway and 0 draws. The most recent ended Denmark 3-1 Norway (Jun 8, 2024).

Go further

Key terms explained