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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction: correct score and AI tips

Aston VillaAston Villa–SunderlandSunderland

Match analysis

Aston Villa take on Sunderland on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Premier League, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. With a 60% win probability, Aston Villa go in as strong favourites against Sunderland (21%), with the draw rated at 19%.

Over their last 5 matches, Aston Villa have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Sunderland have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Aston Villa score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Sunderland score 1.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Aston Villa sit 12th with 12 points from 9 games, Sunderland 20th with 5 points from 9. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Aston Villa have averaged 1.53 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.98 for Sunderland.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Aston Villa, 1 for Sunderland and 1 draw. The most recent ended Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland (Apr 19, 2026). Aston Villa out or doubtful: M. Cisse, B. Madjo, A. Onana, M. Ruggeri and A. Wan-Bissaka. Sunderland: J. Angulo, D. Ballard, A. Browne, H. Diarra, M. Ellborg, R. Mundle, J. Ta Bi and C. Talbi. In double chance terms, "Aston Villa or draw" stands at 79%, "Sunderland or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 81%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

60%
Aston Villa (Win)
19%
Draw
21%
Sunderland (Win)

Double chance

79%
Aston Villa or draw
40%
Sunderland or draw
81%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Aston Villa

DateOpponentScore
Nov 3, 2026Barcelona · UEFA Champions League0-3L
Oct 31, 2026Fulham · Premier League1-1D
Oct 28, 2026Bournemouth · EFL Cup0-3L
Oct 24, 2026Manchester City · Premier League2-1W
Oct 21, 2026Viking · UEFA Champions League3-1W

Sunderland

DateOpponentScore
Nov 5, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Oct 31, 2026Coventry · Premier League1-3L
Oct 28, 2026Brentford · EFL Cup3-2W
Oct 25, 2026Leeds · Premier League0-0D
Oct 22, 2026Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Aston Villa12129
Sunderland2059

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Aston Villa 4-3 SunderlandPremier League
Sep 21, 2025Sunderland 1-1 Aston VillaPremier League
Mar 6, 2018Sunderland 0-3 Aston VillaChampionship
Nov 21, 2017Aston Villa 2-1 SunderlandChampionship
Jan 2, 2016Sunderland 3-1 Aston VillaPremier League

Out and doubtful

Aston Villa

  • M. Cisse (out)
  • B. Madjo (out)
  • A. Onana (out)
  • M. Ruggeri (out)
  • A. Wan-Bissaka (out)

Sunderland

  • J. Angulo (out)
  • D. Ballard (out)
  • A. Browne (out)
  • H. Diarra (out)
  • M. Ellborg (out)
  • R. Mundle (out)
  • J. Ta Bi (out)
  • C. Talbi (out)

Most regular starters

Aston Villa

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • João Gomes4/5
  • Pau Torres4/5
  • E. Buendía3/5
  • I. Maatsen3/5
  • J. McGinn3/5
  • N. Jackson3/5
  • V. Lindelöf3/5
  • Z. Suzuki3/5
  • Alysson Edward2/5
  • B. Kamara2/5
  • I. Mbaye2/5

Sunderland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Methalie3/5
  • G. Xhaka3/5
  • Jules Ahoka3/5
  • K. Danso3/5
  • M. Fofana3/5
  • N. Angulo3/5
  • O. Alderete3/5
  • R. Roefs3/5
  • C. Rigg2/5
  • H. Diarra2/5
  • L. O'Nien2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction?

Our AI gives Aston Villa a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sunderland 21%. Aston Villa are therefore favourites.

When and where is Aston Villa vs Sunderland played?

Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 11. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham.

What form are Aston Villa and Sunderland in?

Aston Villa: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Sunderland: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Sunderland?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Aston Villa, 1 for Sunderland and 1 draw. The most recent ended Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland (Apr 19, 2026).

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Key terms explained