Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Chelsea vs Leeds prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Chelsea take on Leeds on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Premier League, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London. With a 65% win probability, Chelsea go in as strong favourites against Leeds (15%), with the draw rated at 20%.
Over their last 5 matches, Chelsea have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Leeds have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Chelsea. On average Chelsea score 2.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Leeds score 0.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Chelsea sit 4th with 16 points from 9 games, Leeds 8th with 14 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Chelsea have averaged 1.53 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.13 for Leeds.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Chelsea, 1 for Leeds and 1 draw. The most recent ended Chelsea 6-3 Leeds (Sep 9, 2026). In double chance terms, "Chelsea or draw" stands at 85%, "Leeds or draw" at 35% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Chelsea
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Liverpool · EFL Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 5-1 | W |
Leeds
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arsenal · Premier League | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 4 | 16 | 9 |
| Leeds | 8 | 14 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chelsea 6-3 Leeds | EFL Cup |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chelsea 1-0 Leeds | FA Cup |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Chelsea 2-2 Leeds | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Leeds 3-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Chelsea 3-2 Leeds | FA Cup |
Out and doubtful
Chelsea
No absences reported.
Leeds
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Chelsea
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Caicedo4/5
- M. Rogers4/5
- C. Palmer3/5
- J. Henderson3/5
- L. Colwill3/5
- M. Lacroix3/5
- Pedro Neto3/5
- E. Martinez2/5
- J. Acheampong2/5
- Joao Pedro2/5
- Joshua Kofi Acheampong2/5
Leeds
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Tanaka4/5
- D. Calvert-Lewin4/5
- E. Ampadu4/5
- G. Gudmundsson4/5
- J. Bogle4/5
- J. Justin4/5
- J. Trafford4/5
- N. Elvedi4/5
- A. Stach2/5
- N. Okafor2/5
- T. Muharemovic2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Aston Villa – SunderlandNov 21, 2026
- Bournemouth – Nottingham ForestNov 21, 2026
- Coventry – Crystal PalaceNov 21, 2026
- Tottenham – IpswichNov 21, 2026
- Newcastle – ArsenalNov 21, 2026
- Hull City – BrightonNov 22, 2026
- Liverpool – Manchester UnitedNov 22, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Chelsea vs Leeds prediction?
Our AI gives Chelsea a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leeds 15%. Chelsea are therefore favourites.
When and where is Chelsea vs Leeds played?
Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 11. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London.
What form are Chelsea and Leeds in?
Chelsea: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded). Leeds: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Leeds?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Chelsea, 1 for Leeds and 1 draw. The most recent ended Chelsea 6-3 Leeds (Sep 9, 2026).
Go further
- All Chelsea predictions
- All Leeds predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology