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Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga· Kick-off : Friday, October 30, 2026, 20:15 (UK time)

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction: correct score and AI tips

Casa PiaCasa Pia–Sporting CPSporting CP

Match analysis

Primeira Liga, matchday 10: the Casa Pia vs Sporting CP match is scheduled on Friday, October 30, 2026 at 20:15 (UK time). With a 75% win probability, Sporting CP go in as strong favourites against Casa Pia (9%), with the draw rated at 16%.

Casa Pia have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Sporting CP. On average Casa Pia score 0.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Sporting CP score 2.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Casa Pia sit 17th with 4 points from 8 games, Sporting CP 3rd with 18 points from 8. 14 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Casa Pia have averaged 1.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.46 for Sporting CP.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Casa Pia, 2 for Sporting CP and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sporting CP 3-0 Casa Pia (Jan 16, 2026). Sporting CP: Z. Debast, N. Santos and R. Zalazar. In double chance terms, "Casa Pia or draw" stands at 25%, "Sporting CP or draw" at 91% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

9%
Casa Pia (Win)
16%
Draw
75%
Sporting CP (Win)

Double chance

25%
Casa Pia or draw
91%
Sporting CP or draw
84%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Casa Pia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Estoril · Primeira Liga2-1W
Sep 12, 2026FC Porto · Primeira Liga1-4L
Sep 6, 2026Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0-0D
Aug 30, 2026Moreirense · Primeira Liga0-1L

Sporting CP

DateOpponentScore
Oct 13, 2026Lens · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Oct 9, 2026SC Braga · Primeira Liga3-1W
Sep 19, 2026Arouca · Primeira Liga2-2D
Sep 13, 2026Famalicao · Primeira Liga1-1D
Sep 9, 2026Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Casa Pia1748
Sporting CP3188

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 16, 2026Sporting CP 3-0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
Aug 8, 2025Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga

Out and doubtful

Casa Pia

No absences reported.

Sporting CP

  • Z. Debast (out)
  • N. Santos (out)
  • R. Zalazar (out)

Most regular starters

Casa Pia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Geraldes5/5
  • D. Sousa5/5
  • J. Rego5/5
  • L. Ofori5/5
  • P. Rosas5/5
  • S. Clua5/5
  • Kaly4/5
  • B. Pauwels3/5
  • H. Araujo3/5
  • I. Mandic3/5
  • M. Salah3/5

Sporting CP

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Doumbia5/5
  • G. Catamo4/5
  • G. Inacio4/5
  • R. Silva4/5
  • S. Altimira4/5
  • I. Fresneda3/5
  • L. Suarez3/5
  • M. Araujo3/5
  • N. Irankunda3/5
  • E. Quaresma2/5
  • G. Vagiannidis2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction?

Our AI gives Casa Pia a 9% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sporting CP 75%. Sporting CP are therefore favourites.

When and where is Casa Pia vs Sporting CP played?

Friday, October 30, 2026 at 20:15 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 10.

What form are Casa Pia and Sporting CP in?

Casa Pia: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded). Sporting CP: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and Sporting CP?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Casa Pia, 2 for Sporting CP and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sporting CP 3-0 Casa Pia (Jan 16, 2026).

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Key terms explained