Primeira Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)
Moreirense vs Estrela prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Moreirense take on Estrela on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), a Primeira Liga, matchday 10 fixture. Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos. Estrela start as favourites with a 51% chance of victory; Moreirense are given 25% and the draw 24%.
Moreirense have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Estrela have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Moreirense score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Estrela score 1.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, Moreirense sit 12th with 8 points from 8 games, Estrela 10th with 10 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Moreirense have averaged 1.11 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.66 for Estrela.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Moreirense, 0 for Estrela and 1 draw. The most recent ended Moreirense 3-2 Estrela (May 2, 2026). In double chance terms, "Moreirense or draw" stands at 49%, "Estrela or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Moreirense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vitória SC · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Maritimo · Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Benfica · Primeira Liga | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC Porto · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
Estrela
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 12 | 8 | 8 |
| Estrela | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Moreirense 3-2 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Estrela 0-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
Out and doubtful
Moreirense
No absences reported.
Estrela
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Moreirense
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Ferreira5/5
- D. Pinto5/5
- G. Batista5/5
- Kiko5/5
- M. Mendonca5/5
- Maracas5/5
- N. John5/5
- Guilherme Liberato3/5
- K. Bondoso3/5
- L. Vonic3/5
- T. Andrade3/5
Estrela
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Marcus5/5
- G. Doue5/5
- I. Stoica5/5
- L. Antonetti5/5
- L. Zvonarek5/5
- Leo Linck5/5
- M. Scholze5/5
- Rafa Soares5/5
- S. Lekovic5/5
- Luan Patrick4/5
- S. Serra4/5
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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
Frequently asked questions
What is the Moreirense vs Estrela prediction?
Our AI gives Moreirense a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estrela 51%. Estrela are therefore favourites.
When and where is Moreirense vs Estrela played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 10. Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos.
What form are Moreirense and Estrela in?
Moreirense: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Estrela: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Moreirense and Estrela?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Moreirense, 0 for Estrela and 1 draw. The most recent ended Moreirense 3-2 Estrela (May 2, 2026).
Go further
- All Moreirense predictions
- All Estrela predictions
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology