Primeira Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)
Nacional vs Academico Viseu: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Nacional 1-0 Academico Viseu. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Academico Viseu (57%), while victory for Nacional was rated at only 13%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (24%): correct.
Match analysis
Nacional and Academico Viseu met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Primeira Liga, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Estádio da Madeira, Funchal. Before kick-off, our model gave Nacional a 13% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Academico Viseu 57%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (23.0%), followed by 0-0 (18.3%) and 0-2 (14.5%).
Nacional have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Academico Viseu have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Academico Viseu therefore arrive in far better shape than Nacional. On average Nacional score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Academico Viseu score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Nacional sit 15th with 7 points from 10 games, Academico Viseu 6th with 20 points from 10. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Nacional have averaged 0.68 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.82 for Academico Viseu.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Nacional and Academico Viseu: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Nacional or draw" stands at 43%, "Academico Viseu or draw" at 87% and "no draw" at 70%.
In short : Academico Viseu are tipped by our AI model in this Nacional v Academico Viseu (57%). In the table, Nacional (15th, 7 pts) host Academico Viseu (6th, 20 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Nacional – Academico Viseu. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (23.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 74% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Nacional 0-1 Academico Viseu | 23.0% |
| Nacional 0-0 Academico Viseu | 18.3% |
| Nacional 0-2 Academico Viseu | 14.5% |
| Nacional 1-1 Academico Viseu | 10.1% |
| Nacional 1-0 Academico Viseu | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.44 expected goals for Nacional and 1.26 for Academico Viseu, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 24% and "both teams to score" at 26%. Few goals are expected here. Nacional keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Academico Viseu in 64%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Nacional expected goals | 0.44 |
| Academico Viseu expected goals | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 26% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 9% |
| Nacional clean sheet | 28% |
| Academico Viseu clean sheet | 64% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Nacional
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sanjoanense · Taça de Portugal | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 0-4 | L |
Academico Viseu
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC Porto · Taça da Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting CP · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fátima · Taça de Portugal | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Estoril · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 15 | 7 | 10 |
| Academico Viseu | 6 | 20 | 10 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Nacional and Academico Viseu: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Nacional
No absences reported.
Academico Viseu
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Nacional
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Labidi5/5
- Song Min-Kyu5/5
- W. Kokolo4/5
- Ze Vitor4/5
- A. Njoya3/5
- C. Goncalves3/5
- M. Djalo3/5
- M. Jensen3/5
- Matheus Dias3/5
- R. Marin3/5
- D. Dongmo2/5
Academico Viseu
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- N. Michelis4/5
- S. Messeguem4/5
- A. Correia3/5
- C. Kahraman3/5
- Ewerton3/5
- Robinho3/5
- A. Ceitil2/5
- Andre Clovis2/5
- C. Ferreira2/5
- Gu Costa2/5
- Joao Guilherme2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Famalicao 1-0 AroucaNov 6, 2026
- Alverca 1-1 Casa PiaNov 7, 2026
- Sporting CP 1-0 MoreirenseNov 7, 2026
- Santa Clara 1-2 GIL VicenteNov 8, 2026
- Estoril – MaritimoNov 8, 2026
- Guimaraes 1-2 FC PortoNov 8, 2026
- Rio Ave 0-1 SC BragaNov 8, 2026
- Estrela 2-3 BenficaNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Nacional a 13% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Academico Viseu 57%. Academico Viseu are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Nacional vs Academico Viseu?
0-1 (23.0%), followed by 0-0 (18.3%), 0-2 (14.5%), 1-1 (10.1%) and 1-0 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?
The probability that both Nacional and Academico Viseu score is 26%. Nacional have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Academico Viseu 64%.
How many goals should we expect in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?
The model expects 1.70 goals (0.44 for Nacional, 1.26 for Academico Viseu). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 51%, over 2.5 goals 24%, over 3.5 goals 9%.
When and where is Nacional vs Academico Viseu played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 11. Venue: Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.
What form are Nacional and Academico Viseu in?
Nacional: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Academico Viseu: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Nacional vs Academico Viseu result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Nacional 1-0 Academico Viseu. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Academico Viseu (57%), while victory for Nacional was rated at only 13%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (24%): correct.
How is the Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.44 for Nacional, 1.26 for Academico Viseu) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Nacional predictions
- All Academico Viseu predictions
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology