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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 22:00 (UK time)

Once Caldas vs Llaneros prediction: correct score and AI tips

Once CaldasOnce Caldas–LlanerosLlaneros

Match analysis

Once Caldas take on Llaneros on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 22:00 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. Once Caldas start as favourites with a 48% chance of victory; Llaneros are given 27% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Once Caldas have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Llaneros have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Once Caldas score 0.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Llaneros score 1.40 and concede 1.60. In the table, Once Caldas sit 10th with 12 points from 10 games, Llaneros 9th with 14 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Once Caldas, 0 for Llaneros and 1 draw. The most recent ended Llaneros 1-1 Once Caldas (Mar 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "Once Caldas or draw" stands at 73%, "Llaneros or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Once Caldas to edge Llaneros (48% probability). On recent form, Once Caldas have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Llaneros have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Once Caldas (Win)
25%
Draw
27%
Llaneros (Win)

Double chance

73%
Once Caldas or draw
52%
Llaneros or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Once Caldas – Llaneros. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Once Caldas 1-1 Llaneros12.1%
Once Caldas 1-0 Llaneros11.1%
Once Caldas 2-1 Llaneros9.3%
Once Caldas 2-0 Llaneros8.5%
Once Caldas 0-1 Llaneros7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.54 expected goals for Once Caldas and 1.09 for Llaneros, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Once Caldas keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Llaneros in 21%.

Probability
Once Caldas expected goals1.54
Llaneros expected goals1.09
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Once Caldas clean sheet34%
Llaneros clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Once Caldas

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Sep 17, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Sep 14, 2026Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Sep 10, 2026Alianza Valledupar · Copa Colombia1-0W
Sep 5, 2026Chico · Colombian Primera A0-2L

Llaneros

DateOpponentScore
Sep 21, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A2-0W
Sep 12, 2026Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A2-3L
Sep 8, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Sep 2, 2026Quindio · Copa Colombia1-1D
Aug 30, 2026Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Once Caldas101210
Llaneros91410

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Llaneros 1-1 Once CaldasColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Once Caldas

No absences reported.

Llaneros

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Once Caldas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Colorado5/5
  • A. Roa5/5
  • D. Londono5/5
  • J. D. Cuesta Santos5/5
  • J. Parra5/5
  • M. Barrios5/5
  • A. Correa4/5
  • D. Moreno3/5
  • J. A. Zapata Ramirez3/5
  • J. Castano3/5
  • P. Gomez3/5

Llaneros

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Meza5/5
  • R. Romana Garavito5/5
  • D. Quintero4/5
  • J. Castilla4/5
  • J. Pertuz4/5
  • L. Miranda4/5
  • N. Ospina4/5
  • Y. Mena4/5
  • F. Castaneda3/5
  • H. H. Mena Posada3/5
  • J. Medranda3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Once Caldas vs Llaneros prediction?

Our AI gives Once Caldas a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llaneros 27%. Once Caldas are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.5%) and 0-1 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

The probability that both Once Caldas and Llaneros score is 52%. Once Caldas have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Llaneros 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.54 for Once Caldas, 1.09 for Llaneros). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Once Caldas vs Llaneros played?

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 22:00 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Palogrande, Manizales.

What form are Once Caldas and Llaneros in?

Once Caldas: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded). Llaneros: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Llaneros?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Once Caldas, 0 for Llaneros and 1 draw. The most recent ended Llaneros 1-1 Once Caldas (Mar 30, 2026).

How is the Once Caldas vs Llaneros prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.54 for Once Caldas, 1.09 for Llaneros) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained