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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Thursday, November 12, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction: correct score and AI tips

Cerro LargoCerro Largo–ProgresoProgreso

Match analysis

Uruguayan Primera División: the Cerro Largo vs Progreso match is scheduled on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Cerro Largo 30%, Progreso 44% and the draw 26%.

Cerro Largo have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Progreso have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cerro Largo score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Progreso score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Cerro Largo sit 15th with 9 points from 13 games, Progreso 7th with 19 points from 13. 8 places separate the two sides.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Cerro Largo, 0 for Progreso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo (May 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cerro Largo or draw" stands at 56%, "Progreso or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

30%
Cerro Largo (Win)
26%
Draw
44%
Progreso (Win)

Double chance

56%
Cerro Largo or draw
70%
Progreso or draw
74%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Cerro Largo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División1-3L
Oct 25, 2026Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División2-0W
Oct 21, 2026Liverpool Montevideo · Copa Uruguay0-1L
Oct 16, 2026Cerro · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Albion FC · Uruguayan Primera División0-1L

Progreso

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Defensor Sporting · Uruguayan Primera División0-2L
Oct 25, 2026Wanderers · Uruguayan Primera División1-0W
Oct 17, 2026Juventud · Uruguayan Primera División2-0W
Oct 10, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Oct 3, 2026Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Cerro Largo15913
Progreso71913

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Progreso 0-1 Cerro LargoPrimera División
Aug 9, 2025Progreso 1-2 Cerro LargoPrimera División - Clausura
Feb 7, 2025Cerro Largo 4-1 ProgresoPrimera División - Apertura
Nov 30, 2024Cerro Largo 2-1 ProgresoPrimera División - Clausura
Jun 4, 2024Progreso 0-1 Cerro LargoPrimera División - Apertura

Out and doubtful

Cerro Largo

No absences reported.

Progreso

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Cerro Largo

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Piegas4/4
  • S. Franca4/4
  • A. Hernandez3/4
  • A. Prado3/4
  • P. M. Gonzalez Ojeda3/4
  • S. Assis3/4
  • S. Marcel3/4
  • A. Pandiani2/4
  • B. Lozano2/4
  • E. de Leon2/4
  • G. Viera2/4

Progreso

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Cougo5/5
  • A. Ocampo5/5
  • A. Pinheiro5/5
  • M. Juambeltz5/5
  • M. Martin5/5
  • R. Bacchia5/5
  • E. Alvarez4/5
  • G. Trasante4/5
  • N. Lopez4/5
  • H. Carroso3/5
  • R. Cristobal3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction?

Our AI gives Cerro Largo a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Progreso 44%. Progreso are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Cerro Largo vs Progreso played?

Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo.

What form are Cerro Largo and Progreso in?

Cerro Largo: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Progreso: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Progreso?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Cerro Largo, 0 for Progreso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo (May 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained