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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, November 14, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro prediction: correct score and AI tips

Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado–CerroCerro

Match analysis

Uruguayan Primera División: the Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro match is scheduled on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time). Our model makes Deportivo Maldonado clear favourites: a 61% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 17% for Cerro.

Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo Maldonado have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Cerro have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Deportivo Maldonado therefore arrive in far better shape than Cerro. On average Deportivo Maldonado score 2.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Cerro score 1.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Deportivo Maldonado sit 4th with 22 points from 13 games, Cerro 9th with 18 points from 13. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo Maldonado, 0 for Cerro and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cerro 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado (May 2, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Maldonado or draw" stands at 83%, "Cerro or draw" at 39% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

61%
Deportivo Maldonado (Win)
22%
Draw
17%
Cerro (Win)

Double chance

83%
Deportivo Maldonado or draw
39%
Cerro or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Deportivo Maldonado

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Porongos · Copa Uruguay4-0W
Oct 24, 2026Danubio · Uruguayan Primera División2-1W
Oct 20, 2026Club Nacional · Uruguayan Primera División2-3L
Oct 15, 2026Albion FC · Copa Uruguay4-1W
Oct 10, 2026Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D

Cerro

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Atletico Torque · Uruguayan Primera División1-3L
Oct 16, 2026Cerro Largo · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Defensor Sporting · Uruguayan Primera División3-2W
Oct 4, 2026Wanderers · Uruguayan Primera División0-2L
Sep 27, 2026Juventud · Uruguayan Primera División0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportivo Maldonado42213
Cerro91813

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Cerro 0-1 Deportivo MaldonadoUruguayan Primera División

Out and doubtful

Deportivo Maldonado

No absences reported.

Cerro

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Deportivo Maldonado

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Tealde3/3
  • J. M. Ginzo3/3
  • N. Fuica3/3
  • R. Cesar3/3
  • S. Ramirez3/3
  • A. Freitas2/3
  • A. M. Noble Sequeira2/3
  • C. Tabo2/3
  • J. Ramos2/3
  • M. Gonzalez2/3
  • S. Cartagena2/3

Cerro

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Macelli5/5
  • C. Barros5/5
  • J. Guasone5/5
  • Y. Irrazabal5/5
  • B. Aleman4/5
  • D. Suarez4/5
  • E. Rodriguez4/5
  • G. Rodriguez4/5
  • J. Amaro4/5
  • N. Arena4/5
  • Leonardo Pais3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro prediction?

Our AI gives Deportivo Maldonado a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerro 17%. Deportivo Maldonado are therefore favourites.

When and where is Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro played?

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División.

What form are Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro in?

Deportivo Maldonado: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 6 conceded). Cerro: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo Maldonado, 0 for Cerro and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cerro 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado (May 2, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained