Uruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 15, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Uruguayan Primera División: Defensor Sporting vs Penarol kicks off on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo. It is a tight call: 31% for Defensor Sporting, 26% for the draw and 43% for Penarol.
Defensor Sporting have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Penarol have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Defensor Sporting score 1.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Penarol score 0.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Defensor Sporting sit 13th with 12 points from 13 games, Penarol 5th with 22 points from 13. 8 places separate the two sides.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Defensor Sporting, 1 for Penarol and 1 draw. The most recent ended Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol (May 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Defensor Sporting or draw" stands at 57%, "Penarol or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Defensor Sporting
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 3-3 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cerro · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albion FC · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Plaza Colonia · Copa Uruguay | 0-1 | L |
Penarol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wanderers · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Atletico Torque · Copa Uruguay | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Juventud · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| Penarol | 5 | 22 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol | Uruguayan Primera División |
| May 4, 2026 | Penarol 1-1 Defensor Sporting | Uruguayan Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Defensor Sporting
No absences reported.
Penarol
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Defensor Sporting
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Sorondo4/4
- G. Barrios4/4
- G. De los Santos4/4
- G. Rodriguez4/4
- K. Dawson4/4
- L. Agazzi4/4
- N. Wunsch4/4
- B. Montenegro3/4
- A. Frugone2/4
- E. Elizalde2/4
- L. de los Santos2/4
Penarol
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Jaime4/4
- E. Remedi4/4
- G. Pezzella4/4
- J. Cabrera4/4
- N. Herrera4/4
- W. Aguerre4/4
- E. Darias2/4
- I. Alegre2/4
- L. Umpierrez2/4
- M. Arezo2/4
- M. Olivera2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Cerro Largo – ProgresoNov 12, 2026
- Atletico Torque – Racing MontevideoNov 13, 2026
- Central Espanol – Boston RiverNov 14, 2026
- Deportivo Maldonado – CerroNov 14, 2026
- Club Nacional – Albion FCNov 14, 2026
- Danubio – Liverpool MontevideoNov 15, 2026
- Wanderers – JuventudNov 16, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Defensor Sporting vs Penarol prediction?
Our AI gives Defensor Sporting a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Penarol 43%. Penarol are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Defensor Sporting vs Penarol played?
Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo.
What form are Defensor Sporting and Penarol in?
Defensor Sporting: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded). Penarol: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Defensor Sporting and Penarol?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Defensor Sporting, 1 for Penarol and 1 draw. The most recent ended Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol (May 24, 2026).
Go further
- All Defensor Sporting predictions
- All Penarol predictions
- Uruguayan Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology