Uruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)
Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Liverpool Montevideo take on Penarol on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), a Uruguayan Primera División fixture. Venue: Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo. Liverpool Montevideo start as favourites with a 54% chance of victory; Penarol are given 22% and the draw 24%.
Liverpool Montevideo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Penarol are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Liverpool Montevideo score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Penarol score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Liverpool Montevideo sit 2nd with 21 points from 10 games, Penarol 3rd with 20 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Liverpool Montevideo, 1 for Penarol and 0 draws. The most recent ended Penarol 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Liverpool Montevideo or draw" stands at 78%, "Penarol or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Liverpool Montevideo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Central Espanol · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Colón · Copa Uruguay | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-0 | D |
Penarol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Atletico Torque · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Danubio · Copa Uruguay | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 2 | 21 | 10 |
| Penarol | 3 | 20 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Penarol 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo | Uruguayan Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Penarol 0-2 Liverpool Montevideo | Uruguayan Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Liverpool Montevideo
No absences reported.
Penarol
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Liverpool Montevideo
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cayetano4/4
- E. Castillo4/4
- F. Martinez4/4
- K. Lewis4/4
- L. Acosta4/4
- M. Bernatene4/4
- R. Haller4/4
- S. Strasorier4/4
- N. Garayalde3/4
- R. Bentancourt3/4
- T. Brizuela3/4
Penarol
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Jaime4/4
- E. Remedi4/4
- J. Cabrera4/4
- L. Ferreira4/4
- L. Umpierrez4/4
- M. Arezo4/4
- W. Aguerre4/4
- G. Pezzella3/4
- N. Fernandez3/4
- N. Herrera3/4
- T. N. Espinosa Dovat3/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Cerro 1-1 Cerro LargoOct 16, 2026
- Progreso – JuventudOct 17, 2026
- Racing Montevideo – WanderersOct 17, 2026
- Boston River – Defensor SportingOct 17, 2026
- Albion FC – Atletico TorqueOct 18, 2026
- Danubio – Central EspanolOct 18, 2026
- Club Nacional – Deportivo MaldonadoOct 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol prediction?
Our AI gives Liverpool Montevideo a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Penarol 22%. Liverpool Montevideo are therefore favourites.
When and where is Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo.
What form are Liverpool Montevideo and Penarol in?
Liverpool Montevideo: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Penarol: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool Montevideo and Penarol?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Liverpool Montevideo, 1 for Penarol and 0 draws. The most recent ended Penarol 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo (May 16, 2026).
Go further
- All Liverpool Montevideo predictions
- All Penarol predictions
- Uruguayan Primera División predictions
- Penarol cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology