Uruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Progreso vs Juventud prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Progreso take on Juventud on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), a Uruguayan Primera División fixture. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Progreso 29%, Juventud 45% and the draw 27%.
Over their last 5 matches, Progreso have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Juventud are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 1. Recent momentum is clearly with Juventud. On average Progreso score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Juventud score 1.20 and concede 0.20. In the table, Progreso sit 9th with 13 points from 10 games, Juventud 7th with 17 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Progreso, 2 for Juventud and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventud 2-0 Progreso (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Progreso or draw" stands at 55%, "Juventud or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 73%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Progreso
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Club Nacional · Copa Uruguay | 0-1 | L |
Juventud
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Plaza Colonia · Copa Uruguay | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cerro · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Albion FC · Uruguayan Primera División | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| Juventud | 7 | 17 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Juventud 2-0 Progreso | Uruguayan Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juventud 1-0 Progreso | Uruguayan Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Progreso
No absences reported.
Juventud
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Progreso
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cougo4/4
- A. Ocampo4/4
- A. Pinheiro4/4
- M. Martin4/4
- M. Saravia4/4
- N. Lopez4/4
- R. Bacchia4/4
- R. Cristobal4/4
- G. Trasante3/4
- M. Juambeltz3/4
- E. Alvarez2/4
Juventud
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Morosini4/4
- F. Barrandeguy4/4
- K. Rolon4/4
- L. Roldan4/4
- R. Peralta4/4
- S. Sosa4/4
- A. Cruz3/4
- G. Pereiro3/4
- P. Pernicone3/4
- B. Larregui2/4
- E. Cecchini2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Cerro 1-1 Cerro LargoOct 16, 2026
- Racing Montevideo – WanderersOct 17, 2026
- Boston River – Defensor SportingOct 17, 2026
- Albion FC – Atletico TorqueOct 18, 2026
- Danubio – Central EspanolOct 18, 2026
- Liverpool Montevideo – PenarolOct 18, 2026
- Club Nacional – Deportivo MaldonadoOct 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Progreso vs Juventud prediction?
Our AI gives Progreso a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventud 45%. Juventud are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Progreso vs Juventud played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo.
What form are Progreso and Juventud in?
Progreso: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Juventud: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 1 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Juventud?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Progreso, 2 for Juventud and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventud 2-0 Progreso (May 16, 2026).
Go further
- All Progreso predictions
- All Juventud predictions
- Uruguayan Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology