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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Atalanta vs Parma prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Serie A, matchday 10: the Atalanta vs Parma match is scheduled on Monday, November 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo. With a 86% win probability, Atalanta go in as strong favourites against Parma (4%), with the draw rated at 10%.

Atalanta have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 11 and conceding 12. Parma have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Atalanta score 2.20 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Parma score 0.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, Atalanta sit 12th with 11 points from 9 games, Parma 19th with 5 points from 9. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Atalanta have averaged 2.22 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.92 for Parma.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atalanta, 2 for Parma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atalanta 4-0 Parma (Jan 25, 2026). Atalanta out or doubtful: I. Hien, R. Bellanova, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, G. Raspadori, G. Scamacca and T. Kristensen (doubtful). Parma: N. Elphege and L. Valenti. In double chance terms, "Atalanta or draw" stands at 96%, "Parma or draw" at 14% and "no draw" at 90%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

86%
Atalanta (Win)
10%
Draw
4%
Parma (Win)

Double chance

96%
Atalanta or draw
14%
Parma or draw
90%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atalanta

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Fiorentina · Serie A2-2D
Oct 25, 2026Frosinone · Serie A4-4D
Oct 22, 2026Ajax · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Oct 18, 2026AC Milan · Serie A2-3L
Oct 15, 2026Pafos · UEFA Conference League3-1W

Parma

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Udinese · Serie A0-0D
Oct 24, 2026Lazio · Serie A1-2L
Oct 19, 2026Torino · Serie A0-3L
Oct 10, 2026Inter · Serie A0-3L
Sep 20, 2026Genoa · Serie A2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atalanta12119
Parma1959

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Atalanta 4-0 ParmaSerie A
Aug 30, 2025Parma 1-1 AtalantaSerie A
May 25, 2025Atalanta 2-3 ParmaSerie A
Nov 23, 2024Parma 1-3 AtalantaSerie A
Aug 4, 2024Parma 4-1 AtalantaClub Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Atalanta

  • I. Hien (out)
  • R. Bellanova (out)
  • F. Kessie (out)
  • S. Kolasinac (out)
  • O. Kossounou (out)
  • G. Raspadori (out)
  • G. Scamacca (out)
  • T. Kristensen (doubtful)

Parma

  • N. Elphege (out)
  • L. Valenti (out)

Most regular starters

Atalanta

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Carnesecchi5/5
  • T. Kristensen5/5
  • C. De Ketelaere4/5
  • D. Zappacosta4/5
  • E. Elmas4/5
  • G. Gaetano4/5
  • Ederson3/5
  • L. Bernasconi3/5
  • N. Zalewski3/5
  • R. Bellanova3/5
  • G. Scamacca2/5

Parma

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Keita5/5
  • M. Troilo5/5
  • D. Romero4/5
  • Diego Carlos4/5
  • E. B. Toure4/5
  • E. Corvi4/5
  • E. Delprato4/5
  • E. Valeri4/5
  • V. Sierro4/5
  • D. Drobnic3/5
  • F. Carboni2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Atalanta vs Parma prediction?

Our AI gives Atalanta a 86% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Parma 4%. Atalanta are therefore favourites.

When and where is Atalanta vs Parma played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 10. Venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo.

What form are Atalanta and Parma in?

Atalanta: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 12 conceded). Parma: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Parma?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atalanta, 2 for Parma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atalanta 4-0 Parma (Jan 25, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained