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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Serie A, matchday 10: the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina match is scheduled on Monday, November 2, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time). Venue: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia. Sassuolo start as favourites with a 45% chance of victory; Fiorentina are given 27% and the draw 28%.

Sassuolo have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 15. Fiorentina have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Sassuolo score 1.20 and concede 3.00 goals per game; Fiorentina score 1.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, Sassuolo sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, Fiorentina 18th with 5 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sassuolo have averaged 1.14 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.17 for Fiorentina.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sassuolo, 2 for Fiorentina and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo (Apr 26, 2026). Sassuolo out or doubtful: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, Y. Paz, F. Leysen and K. Thorstvedt (suspended). Fiorentina: R. Sottil, A. Atta, F. Parisi, M. Pongracic and L. Ranieri (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Sassuolo or draw" stands at 73%, "Fiorentina or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Sassuolo (Win)
28%
Draw
27%
Fiorentina (Win)

Double chance

73%
Sassuolo or draw
55%
Fiorentina or draw
72%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sassuolo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 27, 2026Lazio · Serie A2-6L
Oct 24, 2026Como · Serie A0-2L
Oct 16, 2026Frosinone · Serie A2-4L
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan · Serie A1-1D
Sep 18, 2026Monza · Serie A1-2L

Fiorentina

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Atalanta · Serie A2-2D
Oct 25, 2026Inter · Serie A1-2L
Oct 18, 2026Como · Serie A1-3L
Oct 10, 2026Genoa · Serie A1-2L
Sep 20, 2026Napoli · Serie A1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sassuolo1589
Fiorentina1859

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Fiorentina 0-0 SassuoloSerie A
Dec 6, 2025Sassuolo 3-1 FiorentinaSerie A
Apr 28, 2024Fiorentina 5-1 SassuoloSerie A
Jan 6, 2024Sassuolo 1-0 FiorentinaSerie A
Jun 2, 2023Sassuolo 1-3 FiorentinaSerie A

Out and doubtful

Sassuolo

  • I. Koné (out)
  • E. Pieragnolo (out)
  • Fali Candé (out)
  • D. Boloca (out)
  • Y. Paz (out)
  • F. Leysen (out)
  • K. Thorstvedt (suspended)

Fiorentina

  • R. Sottil (out)
  • A. Atta (out)
  • F. Parisi (out)
  • M. Pongracic (out)
  • L. Ranieri (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Sassuolo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Bakola5/5
  • D. Berardi5/5
  • D. Caleta-Car4/5
  • J. Doig4/5
  • N. Matic4/5
  • S. Esposito4/5
  • A. Lauriente3/5
  • A. Muric3/5
  • I. Van der Brempt3/5
  • K. Thorstvedt3/5
  • C. Odenthal2/5

Fiorentina

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Ndour5/5
  • N. Fagioli5/5
  • A. Jimenez4/5
  • A. Njie4/5
  • D. de Gea4/5
  • F. Mastantuono4/5
  • R. Dragusin4/5
  • M. Pellegrino3/5
  • Viery3/5
  • L. Ranieri2/5
  • M. Brescianini2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction?

Our AI gives Sassuolo a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fiorentina 27%. Sassuolo are therefore favourites.

When and where is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 10. Venue: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia.

What form are Sassuolo and Fiorentina in?

Sassuolo: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 15 conceded). Fiorentina: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Fiorentina?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sassuolo, 2 for Fiorentina and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo (Apr 26, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained