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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Lecce vs Genoa prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Serie A, matchday 10: the Lecce vs Genoa match is scheduled on Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. The edge goes to Lecce (52%), ahead of the draw (26%) and a Genoa win (22%).

Lecce have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, Genoa have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Genoa. On average Lecce score 1.00 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Genoa score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Lecce sit 14th with 9 points from 9 games, Genoa 13th with 10 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Lecce have averaged 1.49 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.85 for Genoa.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Lecce, 2 for Genoa and 2 draws. The most recent ended Lecce 1-0 Genoa (May 24, 2026). Lecce out or doubtful: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar (suspended), W. Geubbels (doubtful), I. Ilic and S. Pierotti. Genoa: L. Venturino, E. Havel (doubtful) and M. E. Ellertsson (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Lecce or draw" stands at 78%, "Genoa or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Lecce (Win)
26%
Draw
22%
Genoa (Win)

Double chance

78%
Lecce or draw
48%
Genoa or draw
74%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Lecce

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Frosinone · Serie A1-5L
Oct 25, 2026Juventus · Serie A0-2L
Oct 18, 2026Udinese · Serie A3-0W
Oct 11, 2026Bologna · Serie A1-2L
Sep 20, 2026AC Milan · Serie A0-3L

Genoa

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Juventus · Serie A2-0W
Oct 25, 2026Venezia · Serie A1-0W
Oct 17, 2026AS Roma · Serie A0-2L
Oct 10, 2026Fiorentina · Serie A2-1W
Oct 2, 2026Rapid · Club Friendlies0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Lecce1499
Genoa13109

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Lecce 1-0 GenoaSerie A
Aug 23, 2025Genoa 0-0 LecceSerie A
Mar 14, 2025Genoa 2-1 LecceSerie A
Jan 5, 2025Lecce 0-0 GenoaSerie A
Jan 28, 2024Genoa 2-1 LecceSerie A

Out and doubtful

Lecce

  • M. Berisha (out)
  • L. Coulibaly (out)
  • K. Gaspar (suspended)
  • W. Geubbels (doubtful)
  • I. Ilic (out)
  • S. Pierotti (out)

Genoa

  • L. Venturino (out)
  • E. Havel (doubtful)
  • M. E. Ellertsson (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Lecce

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Gallo5/5
  • W. Falcone5/5
  • Y. Maleh5/5
  • D. Veiga4/5
  • Tiago Gabriel4/5
  • A. Fatah3/5
  • J. Siebert3/5
  • K. Gaspar3/5
  • L. Coulibaly3/5
  • O. Ngom3/5
  • I. Ilic2/5

Genoa

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Bijlow4/5
  • M. Frendrup4/5
  • S. El Shaarawy4/5
  • A. Marcandalli3/5
  • H. J. Traore3/5
  • J. Vasquez3/5
  • Junior Messias3/5
  • K. Ehizibue3/5
  • L. Ostigard3/5
  • M. E. Ellertsson3/5
  • M. Osmajic3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Lecce vs Genoa prediction?

Our AI gives Lecce a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Genoa 22%. Lecce are therefore favourites.

When and where is Lecce vs Genoa played?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 10. Venue: Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce.

What form are Lecce and Genoa in?

Lecce: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 12 conceded). Genoa: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Genoa?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Lecce, 2 for Genoa and 2 draws. The most recent ended Lecce 1-0 Genoa (May 24, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained