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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia: 4-0 result and AI prediction review

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC4 – 0Levski SofiaLevski Sofia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski Sofia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for AEK Athens FC at 50%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia met on Wednesday, August 26, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Allwyn Arena, Athens. Before kick-off, our model gave AEK Athens FC a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levski Sofia 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, AEK Athens FC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 2. Both sides come in with similar form. On average AEK Athens FC score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Levski Sofia score 1.00 and concede 0.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for AEK Athens FC, 0 for Levski Sofia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FC (Aug 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "AEK Athens FC or draw" stands at 75%, "Levski Sofia or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
AEK Athens FC (Win)
25%
Draw
25%
Levski Sofia (Win)

Double chance

75%
AEK Athens FC or draw
50%
Levski Sofia or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as AEK Athens FC – Levski Sofia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
AEK Athens FC 1-1 Levski Sofia11.9%
AEK Athens FC 1-0 Levski Sofia11.3%
AEK Athens FC 2-1 Levski Sofia9.5%
AEK Athens FC 2-0 Levski Sofia9.0%
AEK Athens FC 0-1 Levski Sofia7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.59 expected goals for AEK Athens FC and 1.05 for Levski Sofia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. AEK Athens FC keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Levski Sofia in 20%.

Probability
AEK Athens FC expected goals1.59
Levski Sofia expected goals1.05
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
AEK Athens FC clean sheet35%
Levski Sofia clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

AEK Athens FC

DateOpponentScore
Aug 18, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Aug 2, 2026St. Truiden · Club Friendlies3-0W
Jul 29, 2026Samsunspor · Club Friendlies1-2L
Jul 26, 2026PEC Zwolle · Club Friendlies3-2W
Jul 18, 2026Groningen · Club Friendlies2-1W

Levski Sofia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 18, 2026AEK Athens FC · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Aug 11, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Aug 4, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 29, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 22, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League1-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

AEK Athens FC

No absences reported.

Levski Sofia

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave AEK Athens FC a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levski Sofia 25%. AEK Athens FC are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-0.

What is the most likely correct score for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?

The probability that both AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia score is 52%. AEK Athens FC have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levski Sofia 20%.

How many goals should we expect in AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for AEK Athens FC, 1.05 for Levski Sofia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia played?

Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Allwyn Arena, Athens.

What form are AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia in?

AEK Athens FC: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Levski Sofia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for AEK Athens FC, 0 for Levski Sofia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FC (Aug 18, 2026).

What was the AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski Sofia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for AEK Athens FC at 50%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for AEK Athens FC, 1.05 for Levski Sofia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained