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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Celje vs Slovan Bratislava: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

CeljeCelje1 – 2Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Celje 1-2 Slovan Bratislava. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Celje (39%), while victory for Slovan Bratislava was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Celje and Slovan Bratislava met on Wednesday, August 26, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Arena Z’dezele, Celje. Before kick-off, our model gave Celje a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Slovan Bratislava 32%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Celje have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 8 and conceding 7. Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Slovan Bratislava therefore arrive in far better shape than Celje. On average Celje score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Slovan Bratislava score 1.60 and concede 0.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Celje, 0 for Slovan Bratislava and 1 draw. The most recent ended Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Celje (Aug 19, 2026). Celje out or doubtful: L. Bejger, J. Pisek, P. Daniel and P. Sirvys. Slovan Bratislava: M. Kukharevych and A. Sporar. In double chance terms, "Celje or draw" stands at 68%, "Slovan Bratislava or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 70%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

39%
Celje (Win)
30%
Draw
32%
Slovan Bratislava (Win)

Double chance

68%
Celje or draw
61%
Slovan Bratislava or draw
70%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Celje – Slovan Bratislava. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Celje 1-1 Slovan Bratislava12.0%
Celje 1-0 Slovan Bratislava11.3%
Celje 2-1 Slovan Bratislava9.4%
Celje 2-0 Slovan Bratislava8.9%
Celje 0-1 Slovan Bratislava7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.58 expected goals for Celje and 1.06 for Slovan Bratislava, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Celje keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Slovan Bratislava in 21%.

Probability
Celje expected goals1.58
Slovan Bratislava expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Celje clean sheet35%
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Celje

DateOpponentScore
Aug 19, 2026Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Aug 11, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Aug 4, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Jul 28, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 22, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Champions League3-3D

Slovan Bratislava

DateOpponentScore
Aug 19, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Aug 11, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Aug 4, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 29, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 21, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Champions League2-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Slovan Bratislava 1-1 CeljeUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Celje

  • L. Bejger (out)
  • J. Pisek (out)
  • P. Daniel (out)
  • P. Sirvys (out)

Slovan Bratislava

  • M. Kukharevych (out)
  • A. Sporar (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Celje vs Slovan Bratislava prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Celje a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Slovan Bratislava 32%. Celje are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

The probability that both Celje and Slovan Bratislava score is 52%. Celje have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Slovan Bratislava 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.58 for Celje, 1.06 for Slovan Bratislava). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Celje vs Slovan Bratislava played?

Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Arena Z’dezele, Celje.

What form are Celje and Slovan Bratislava in?

Celje: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Slovan Bratislava: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Slovan Bratislava?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Celje, 0 for Slovan Bratislava and 1 draw. The most recent ended Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Celje (Aug 19, 2026).

What was the Celje vs Slovan Bratislava result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Celje 1-2 Slovan Bratislava. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Celje (39%), while victory for Slovan Bratislava was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Celje vs Slovan Bratislava prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.58 for Celje, 1.06 for Slovan Bratislava) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained