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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3 – 0NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-3

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC Nijmegen. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for NEC Nijmegen (75%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (67%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): correct.

Match analysis

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen was played on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø. Before kick-off, our model gave Bodo/Glimt a 11% chance of winning, the draw 14% and NEC Nijmegen 75%. The most likely correct score is 1-3 (8.1%), ahead of 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-3 (6.7%).

Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 17 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Bodo/Glimt. On average Bodo/Glimt score 3.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; NEC Nijmegen score 1.60 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for NEC Nijmegen and 0 draws. The most recent ended NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt (Aug 19, 2026). Bodo/Glimt out or doubtful: H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen, I. Sjong, O. Blomberg and M. Bro Hansen. NEC Nijmegen: A. Kaplan, K. Ogawa, S. Ouaissa, P. Sandler and P. Schuurs. In double chance terms, "Bodo/Glimt or draw" stands at 25%, "NEC Nijmegen or draw" at 89% and "no draw" at 86%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

11%
Bodo/Glimt (Win)
14%
Draw
75%
NEC Nijmegen (Win)

Double chance

25%
Bodo/Glimt or draw
89%
NEC Nijmegen or draw
86%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Bodo/Glimt – NEC Nijmegen. 1-3 is the single most likely scoreline (8.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 35% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Bodo/Glimt 1-3 NEC Nijmegen8.1%
Bodo/Glimt 1-2 NEC Nijmegen7.8%
Bodo/Glimt 0-3 NEC Nijmegen6.7%
Bodo/Glimt 0-2 NEC Nijmegen6.5%
Bodo/Glimt 1-4 NEC Nijmegen6.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.30 goals in total (1.21 for Bodo/Glimt, 3.09 for NEC Nijmegen): over 2.5 goals has a 80% probability and both teams to score 67%. Everything points to an open game. Bodo/Glimt keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, NEC Nijmegen in 30%.

Probability
Bodo/Glimt expected goals1.21
NEC Nijmegen expected goals3.09
Both teams to score67%
Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet5%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Bodo/Glimt

DateOpponentScore
Aug 19, 2026NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Champions League3-1W
Aug 11, 2026Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Aug 4, 2026Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Champions League3-3D
Jul 4, 2026Start · Club Friendlies4-0W
Jun 28, 2026Molde · Club Friendlies4-1W

NEC Nijmegen

DateOpponentScore
Aug 19, 2026Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League1-3L
Aug 15, 2026Willem II · Eredivisie4-1W
Aug 11, 2026Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Aug 8, 2026Telstar · Eredivisie1-2L
Aug 4, 2026Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Champions League0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bodo/Glimt2398

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Bodo/Glimt

  • H. Evjen (out)
  • A. Mikkelsen (out)
  • I. Sjong (out)
  • O. Blomberg (out)
  • M. Bro Hansen (out)

NEC Nijmegen

  • A. Kaplan (out)
  • K. Ogawa (out)
  • S. Ouaissa (out)
  • P. Sandler (out)
  • P. Schuurs (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Bodo/Glimt a 11% chance of winning, the draw 14% and NEC Nijmegen 75%. NEC Nijmegen are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

1-3 (8.1%), followed by 1-2 (7.8%), 0-3 (6.7%), 0-2 (6.5%) and 1-4 (6.2%).

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

The probability that both Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen score is 67%. Bodo/Glimt have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, NEC Nijmegen 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

The model expects 4.30 goals (1.21 for Bodo/Glimt, 3.09 for NEC Nijmegen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 80%, over 3.5 goals 62%.

When and where is Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen played?

Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø.

What form are Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen in?

Bodo/Glimt: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 7 conceded). NEC Nijmegen: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for NEC Nijmegen and 0 draws. The most recent ended NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt (Aug 19, 2026).

What was the Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC Nijmegen. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for NEC Nijmegen (75%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (67%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): correct.

How is the Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.21 for Bodo/Glimt, 3.09 for NEC Nijmegen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained