La Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
Alaves vs Getafe: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Alaves 3-0 Getafe. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Alaves at 58%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (54%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
Match analysis
Alaves and Getafe met on Saturday, August 15, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz. Before kick-off, our model gave Alaves a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Getafe 20%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (10.6%), followed by 1-1 (10.6%) and 2-0 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Alaves have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Getafe have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Alaves therefore arrive in far better shape than Getafe. On average Alaves score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Getafe score 0.80 and concede 1.40.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Alaves, 1 for Getafe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Alaves 0-2 Getafe (Feb 8, 2026). Alaves out or doubtful: F. Garces, T. Mendes, N. Valentini and L. Boye. Getafe: Juanmi and C. Uche. In double chance terms, "Alaves or draw" stands at 80%, "Getafe or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 78%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Alaves – Getafe. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Alaves 1-0 Getafe | 10.6% |
| Alaves 1-1 Getafe | 10.6% |
| Alaves 2-0 Getafe | 9.9% |
| Alaves 2-1 Getafe | 9.9% |
| Alaves 3-0 Getafe | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.88 expected goals for Alaves and 1.00 for Getafe, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 54%. Alaves keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Getafe in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Alaves expected goals | 1.88 |
| Getafe expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Alaves clean sheet | 37% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Alaves
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Castellón · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Girona · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eibar · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 23, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Monaco · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · Club Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Valladolid · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Tenerife · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Getafe | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Alaves 0-2 Getafe | La Liga |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Getafe 1-1 Alaves | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Alaves
- F. Garces (out)
- T. Mendes (out)
- N. Valentini (out)
- L. Boye (out)
Getafe
- Juanmi (out)
- C. Uche (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Sevilla 2-1 Rayo VallecanoAug 15, 2026
- Racing Santander 2-2 VillarrealAug 16, 2026
- Espanyol 3-0 LevanteAug 16, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 ElcheAug 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Alaves vs Getafe prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Alaves a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Getafe 20%. Alaves are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Alaves vs Getafe?
1-0 (10.6%), followed by 1-1 (10.6%), 2-0 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 3-0 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in Alaves vs Getafe?
The probability that both Alaves and Getafe score is 54%. Alaves have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Getafe 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Alaves vs Getafe?
The model expects 2.88 goals (1.88 for Alaves, 1.00 for Getafe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Alaves vs Getafe played?
Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 1. Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.
What form are Alaves and Getafe in?
Alaves: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Getafe: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Getafe?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Alaves, 1 for Getafe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Alaves 0-2 Getafe (Feb 8, 2026).
What was the Alaves vs Getafe result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Alaves 3-0 Getafe. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Alaves at 58%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (54%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
How is the Alaves vs Getafe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.88 for Alaves, 1.00 for Getafe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.