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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Monday, August 17, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1 – 1ElcheElche

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Elche. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo La Coruna (73%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (18%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (29%): correct.

Match analysis

Deportivo La Coruna and Elche met on Monday, August 17, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruna. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo La Coruna a 73% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elche 5%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (24.8%), followed by 2-0 (20.3%) and 0-0 (15.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo La Coruna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Elche are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Deportivo La Coruna score 1.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Elche score 1.40 and concede 1.20.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Elche and 2 draws. In double chance terms, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" stands at 95%, "Elche or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

73%
Deportivo La Coruna (Win)
22%
Draw
5%
Elche (Win)

Double chance

95%
Deportivo La Coruna or draw
27%
Elche or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Deportivo La Coruna – Elche. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (24.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 77% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Elche24.8%
Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 Elche20.3%
Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 Elche15.1%
Deportivo La Coruna 3-0 Elche11.1%
Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Elche6.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.64 expected goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.25 for Elche, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 29% and "both teams to score" at 18%. Few goals are expected here. Deportivo La Coruna keep a clean sheet in 78% of scenarios, Elche in 19%.

Probability
Deportivo La Coruna expected goals1.64
Elche expected goals0.25
Both teams to score18%
Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet78%
Elche clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Deportivo La Coruna

DateOpponentScore
Aug 12, 2026Real Madrid · Club Friendlies0-1L
Aug 8, 2026Genoa · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 6, 2026Fiorentina · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 1, 2026FC St. Pauli · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 29, 2026Lugo · Club Friendlies1-0W

Elche

DateOpponentScore
Jul 31, 2026Cordoba · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 28, 2026Al Ain · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 24, 2026Johor Darul Takzim FC · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 18, 2026Kaizer Chiefs · Club Friendlies2-1W
May 23, 2026Girona · La Liga1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportivo La Coruna1900
Elche1500

Head-to-head

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Elche and 2 draws.

Out and doubtful

Deportivo La Coruna

No absences reported.

Elche

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo La Coruna a 73% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elche 5%. Deportivo La Coruna are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

1-0 (24.8%), followed by 2-0 (20.3%), 0-0 (15.1%), 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-1 (6.2%).

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

The probability that both Deportivo La Coruna and Elche score is 18%. Deportivo La Coruna have a 78% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Elche 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

The model expects 1.89 goals (1.64 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.25 for Elche). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 56%, over 2.5 goals 29%, over 3.5 goals 12%.

When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche played?

Monday, August 17, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 1. Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruna.

What form are Deportivo La Coruna and Elche in?

Deportivo La Coruna: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded). Elche: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Elche?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Elche and 2 draws.

What was the Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Elche. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo La Coruna (73%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (18%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (29%): correct.

How is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.25 for Elche) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained