La Liga· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Alaves vs Malaga prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 10: the Alaves vs Malaga match is scheduled on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz. With a 74% win probability, Alaves go in as strong favourites against Malaga (8%), with the draw rated at 18%.
Alaves have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Malaga have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Alaves score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Malaga score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Alaves sit 7th with 11 points from 8 games, Malaga 20th with 4 points from 8. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Alaves have averaged 1.38 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.78 for Malaga.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Alaves, 1 for Malaga and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alaves 2-1 Malaga (May 20, 2023). Alaves out or doubtful: F. Garces (suspended), A. Perez (suspended) and M. Rodriguez. Malaga: J. Cruz, M. Diarra, J. Lobete, D. Murillo and A. Ochoa. In double chance terms, "Alaves or draw" stands at 92%, "Malaga or draw" at 26% and "no draw" at 82%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Alaves
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 5-2 | W |
Malaga
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| Malaga | 20 | 4 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Alaves 2-1 Malaga | Segunda División |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Malaga 1-0 Alaves | Segunda División |
| May 6, 2018 | Malaga 0-3 Alaves | La Liga |
| Dec 21, 2017 | Alaves 1-0 Malaga | La Liga |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Malaga 1-2 Alaves | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Alaves
- F. Garces (suspended)
- A. Perez (suspended)
- M. Rodriguez (out)
Malaga
- J. Cruz (out)
- M. Diarra (out)
- J. Lobete (out)
- D. Murillo (out)
- A. Ochoa (out)
Most regular starters
Alaves
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Rebbach5/5
- N. Tenaglia5/5
- A. Sivera4/5
- L. Boye4/5
- P. Ibanez4/5
- V. Koski4/5
- A. Blanco3/5
- A. Perez3/5
- Jonny Otto3/5
- M. Diaz3/5
- N. Valentini3/5
Malaga
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Herrero5/5
- A. Recio5/5
- D. Larrubia5/5
- Chupe4/5
- D. Lorenzo4/5
- J. Salinas4/5
- P. Martinez4/5
- Rafita4/5
- C. Dotor3/5
- E. Galilea3/5
- J. Munoz3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Levante – Athletic ClubOct 21, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano – ElcheOct 24, 2026
- Racing Santander – EspanyolOct 24, 2026
- Valencia – VillarrealOct 24, 2026
- Atletico Madrid – Deportivo La CorunaOct 24, 2026
- Athletic Club – GetafeOct 25, 2026
- Celta Vigo – Real BetisOct 25, 2026
- Real Sociedad – LevanteOct 25, 2026
- Barcelona – Real MadridOct 25, 2026
- Sevilla – OsasunaOct 26, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Alaves vs Malaga prediction?
Our AI gives Alaves a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Malaga 8%. Alaves are therefore favourites.
When and where is Alaves vs Malaga played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 10. Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.
What form are Alaves and Malaga in?
Alaves: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Malaga: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Malaga?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Alaves, 1 for Malaga and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alaves 2-1 Malaga (May 20, 2023).
Go further
- All Alaves predictions
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