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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Valencia vs Villarreal prediction: correct score and AI tips

ValenciaValencia–VillarrealVillarreal

Match analysis

Valencia take on Villarreal on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), a La Liga, matchday 10 fixture. Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia. Our model makes Villarreal clear favourites: a 62% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 18% for Valencia.

Valencia have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Villarreal have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Villarreal therefore arrive in far better shape than Valencia. On average Valencia score 1.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Villarreal score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Valencia sit 19th with 5 points from 8 games, Villarreal 11th with 8 points from 8. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Valencia have averaged 1.14 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.00 for Villarreal.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Valencia, 3 for Villarreal and 2 draws. The most recent ended Villarreal 2-1 Valencia (Feb 22, 2026). Valencia out or doubtful: S. Canos, J. Copete, D. Foulquier, D. Lopez and U. Sadiq. Villarreal: T. Buchanan and N. Pepe. In double chance terms, "Valencia or draw" stands at 38%, "Villarreal or draw" at 82% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

18%
Valencia (Win)
20%
Draw
62%
Villarreal (Win)

Double chance

38%
Valencia or draw
82%
Villarreal or draw
80%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Valencia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga2-2D
Sep 20, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga2-3L
Sep 15, 2026Alaves · La Liga1-0W
Sep 11, 2026Sevilla · La Liga0-1L
Sep 6, 2026Barcelona · La Liga0-5L

Villarreal

DateOpponentScore
Oct 13, 2026Napoli · UEFA Champions League3-1W
Oct 10, 2026Real Madrid · La Liga0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Levante · La Liga3-1W
Sep 17, 2026Malaga · La Liga3-1W
Sep 14, 2026Real Betis · La Liga1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Valencia1958
Villarreal1188

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Villarreal 2-1 ValenciaLa Liga
Oct 25, 2025Valencia 0-2 VillarrealLa Liga
Feb 15, 2025Villarreal 1-1 ValenciaLa Liga
Aug 31, 2024Valencia 1-1 VillarrealLa Liga
Mar 17, 2024Villarreal 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Valencia

  • S. Canos (out)
  • J. Copete (out)
  • D. Foulquier (out)
  • D. Lopez (out)
  • U. Sadiq (out)

Villarreal

  • T. Buchanan (out)
  • N. Pepe (out)

Most regular starters

Valencia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Ugrinic5/5
  • Pepelu5/5
  • S. Dimitrievski5/5
  • A. Danjuma4/5
  • J. Guerra4/5
  • J. Gaya3/5
  • P. Maffeo3/5
  • A. Dieng2/5
  • A. Martinez2/5
  • A. Mayol2/5
  • D. Otorbi2/5

Villarreal

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • P. Gueye4/5
  • P. Gulacsi4/5
  • P. Navarro4/5
  • R. Veiga4/5
  • A. Freeman3/5
  • A. Moleiro3/5
  • A. Perez3/5
  • I. Akhomach3/5
  • N. Saliba3/5
  • S. Cardona3/5
  • S. Comesana3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Valencia vs Villarreal prediction?

Our AI gives Valencia a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Villarreal 62%. Villarreal are therefore favourites.

When and where is Valencia vs Villarreal played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 10. Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.

What form are Valencia and Villarreal in?

Valencia: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 11 conceded). Villarreal: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Villarreal?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Valencia, 3 for Villarreal and 2 draws. The most recent ended Villarreal 2-1 Valencia (Feb 22, 2026).

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Key terms explained