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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 13:00 (UK time)

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction: correct score and AI tips

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano–ElcheElche

Match analysis

La Liga, matchday 10: Rayo Vallecano vs Elche kicks off on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time). Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid. With a 69% win probability, Rayo Vallecano go in as strong favourites against Elche (10%), with the draw rated at 21%.

Over their last 5 matches, Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Elche have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Rayo Vallecano score 1.80 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Elche score 1.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Rayo Vallecano sit 13th with 8 points from 7 games, Elche 18th with 6 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.35 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.78 for Elche.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 3 for Elche and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche (Apr 3, 2026). Rayo Vallecano out or doubtful: A. Batalla and A. Ratiu (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Rayo Vallecano or draw" stands at 90%, "Elche or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

69%
Rayo Vallecano (Win)
21%
Draw
10%
Elche (Win)

Double chance

90%
Rayo Vallecano or draw
31%
Elche or draw
79%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Rayo Vallecano

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Osasuna · La Liga1-1D
Sep 15, 2026Espanyol · La Liga2-1W
Sep 12, 2026Real Madrid · La Liga1-4L
Sep 5, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga3-2W
Aug 31, 2026Barcelona · La Liga2-5L

Elche

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Celta Vigo · La Liga0-0D
Sep 18, 2026Espanyol · La Liga3-1W
Sep 15, 2026Real Madrid · La Liga2-3L
Sep 12, 2026Athletic Club · La Liga1-1D
Sep 7, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Rayo Vallecano1387
Elche1868

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Rayo Vallecano 1-0 ElcheLa Liga
Dec 21, 2025Elche 4-0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Apr 29, 2023Elche 4-0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Oct 3, 2022Rayo Vallecano 2-1 ElcheLa Liga
Feb 18, 2022Elche 2-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Rayo Vallecano

  • A. Batalla (out)
  • A. Ratiu (doubtful)

Elche

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Rayo Vallecano

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Lejeune5/5
  • P. Ciss5/5
  • A. Garcia4/5
  • S. Camello4/5
  • U. Lopez4/5
  • A. Pedrosa3/5
  • A. Ratiu3/5
  • E. Audero3/5
  • P. Diaz3/5
  • D. Cardenas2/5
  • G. Bouare2/5

Elche

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Dituro5/5
  • Buba Sangare4/5
  • G. Valera4/5
  • G. Villar4/5
  • J. Morcillo4/5
  • R. Revivo4/5
  • Tete Morente4/5
  • V. Chust4/5
  • F. Nino3/5
  • F. Redondo Solari3/5
  • F. Buonanotte2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction?

Our AI gives Rayo Vallecano a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Elche 10%. Rayo Vallecano are therefore favourites.

When and where is Rayo Vallecano vs Elche played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 10. Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid.

What form are Rayo Vallecano and Elche in?

Rayo Vallecano: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded). Elche: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Elche?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 3 for Elche and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche (Apr 3, 2026).

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Key terms explained