La Liga· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Levante vs Athletic Club: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Levante 3-1 Athletic Club. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Athletic Club (37%), while victory for Levante was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
Match analysis
Levante and Athletic Club met on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Before kick-off, our model gave Levante a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Athletic Club 37%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.3%), followed by 0-1 (12.0%) and 1-0 (11.6%).
Levante have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 1. Athletic Club therefore arrive in far better shape than Levante. On average Levante score 1.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Athletic Club score 1.00 and concede 0.20. In the table, Levante sit 17th with 7 points from 8 games, Athletic Club 11th with 9 points from 7. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Levante have averaged 1.28 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.00 for Athletic Club.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Levante, 4 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 4-2 Levante (Feb 8, 2026). Levante out or doubtful: K. Etta Eyong, A. Primo and H. Sotelo. Athletic Club: A. Djalo, U. Egiluz, O. Sancet, N. Williams and G. Guruzeta (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Levante or draw" stands at 63%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Levante host Athletic Club in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (28%). On recent form, Levante have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Athletic Club have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Levante – Athletic Club. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Levante 1-1 Athletic Club | 13.3% |
| Levante 0-1 Athletic Club | 12.0% |
| Levante 1-0 Athletic Club | 11.6% |
| Levante 0-0 Athletic Club | 10.4% |
| Levante 1-2 Athletic Club | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.11 expected goals for Levante and 1.15 for Athletic Club, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 39% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Few goals are expected here. Levante keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Athletic Club in 33%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Levante expected goals | 1.11 |
| Athletic Club expected goals | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Levante clean sheet | 32% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 33% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Levante
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Sociedad · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 17 | 7 | 8 |
| Athletic Club | 11 | 9 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Athletic Club 4-2 Levante | La Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Levante 0-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 7, 2022 | Athletic Club 3-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Levante 0-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 4, 2021 | Levante 1-2 Athletic Club | Copa del Rey |
Out and doubtful
Levante
- K. Etta Eyong (out)
- A. Primo (out)
- H. Sotelo (out)
Athletic Club
- A. Djalo (out)
- U. Egiluz (out)
- O. Sancet (out)
- N. Williams (out)
- G. Guruzeta (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Levante
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Dela5/5
- M. Ryan5/5
- A. Mandi3/5
- E. Bardeli3/5
- J. A. Olasagasti3/5
- J. Toljan3/5
- M. Sanchez3/5
- R. Brugue3/5
- Brugui2/5
- I. Romero2/5
- Iván Romero2/5
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Williams4/5
- R. Navarro4/5
- A. Laporte3/5
- I. Ruiz de Galarreta3/5
- J. Louis-Jean3/5
- N. Williams3/5
- O. Sancet3/5
- U. Simon3/5
- Y. Alvarez3/5
- Y. Berchiche3/5
- A. Paredes2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Osasuna 2-0 Racing SantanderOct 18, 2026
- Celta Vigo 2-1 AlavesOct 18, 2026
- Malaga 2-5 Real SociedadOct 18, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-1 SevillaOct 18, 2026
- Getafe 1-1 Rayo VallecanoOct 19, 2026
- Alaves 1-1 MalagaOct 23, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 0-3 ElcheOct 24, 2026
- Racing Santander 2-1 EspanyolOct 24, 2026
- Valencia 1-2 VillarrealOct 24, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 1-0 Deportivo La CorunaOct 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Levante vs Athletic Club prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Levante a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Athletic Club 37%. Athletic Club are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Levante vs Athletic Club?
1-1 (13.3%), followed by 0-1 (12.0%), 1-0 (11.6%), 0-0 (10.4%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Levante vs Athletic Club?
The probability that both Levante and Athletic Club score is 46%. Levante have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Athletic Club 33%.
How many goals should we expect in Levante vs Athletic Club?
The model expects 2.26 goals (1.11 for Levante, 1.15 for Athletic Club). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Levante vs Athletic Club played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 6. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia.
What form are Levante and Athletic Club in?
Levante: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded). Athletic Club: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 1 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Athletic Club?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Levante, 4 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 4-2 Levante (Feb 8, 2026).
What was the Levante vs Athletic Club result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Levante 3-1 Athletic Club. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Athletic Club (37%), while victory for Levante was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
How is the Levante vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.11 for Levante, 1.15 for Athletic Club) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Levante predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology