La Liga· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Levante vs Athletic Club prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 6: Levante vs Athletic Club kicks off on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Athletic Club start as favourites with a 47% chance of victory; Levante are given 29% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.9%), followed by 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (8.2%).
Levante have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Athletic Club have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Athletic Club therefore arrive in far better shape than Levante. On average Levante score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Athletic Club score 1.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, Levante sit 17th with 5 points from 6 games, Athletic Club 10th with 8 points from 6. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Levante have averaged 1.54 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.48 for Athletic Club.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Levante, 4 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 4-2 Levante (Feb 8, 2026). Levante out or doubtful: K. Etta Eyong, A. Primo and H. Sotelo. Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta and D. Vivian. In double chance terms, "Levante or draw" stands at 53%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Athletic Club are tipped by our AI model in this Levante v Athletic Club (47%). On recent form, Levante have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Athletic Club have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Levante – Athletic Club. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Levante 1-1 Athletic Club | 10.9% |
| Levante 1-2 Athletic Club | 9.3% |
| Levante 0-1 Athletic Club | 8.2% |
| Levante 2-1 Athletic Club | 7.2% |
| Levante 0-2 Athletic Club | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.32 expected goals for Levante and 1.72 for Athletic Club, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 59% and "both teams to score" at 60%. Goals look likely in this one. Levante keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Athletic Club in 27%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Levante expected goals | 1.32 |
| Athletic Club expected goals | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Levante clean sheet | 18% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 27% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Levante
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 17 | 5 | 6 |
| Athletic Club | 10 | 8 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Athletic Club 4-2 Levante | La Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Levante 0-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 7, 2022 | Athletic Club 3-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Levante 0-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 4, 2021 | Levante 1-2 Athletic Club | Copa del Rey |
Out and doubtful
Levante
- K. Etta Eyong (out)
- A. Primo (out)
- H. Sotelo (out)
Athletic Club
- U. Egiluz (out)
- G. Guruzeta (out)
- D. Vivian (out)
Most regular starters
Levante
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mandi5/5
- Dela5/5
- M. Ryan5/5
- E. Bardeli4/5
- J. A. Olasagasti4/5
- M. Sanchez4/5
- R. Brugue4/5
- I. Romero3/5
- N. Perez3/5
- O. Rey3/5
- T. Fernandez3/5
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Williams5/5
- A. Laporte4/5
- O. Sancet4/5
- U. Simon4/5
- B. Gerenabarrena3/5
- I. Ruiz de Galarreta3/5
- J. Areso3/5
- N. Williams3/5
- R. Navarro3/5
- Y. Alvarez3/5
- Y. Berchiche3/5
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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Frequently asked questions
What is the Levante vs Athletic Club prediction?
Our AI gives Levante a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Club 47%. Athletic Club are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Levante vs Athletic Club?
1-1 (10.9%), followed by 1-2 (9.3%), 0-1 (8.2%), 2-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Levante vs Athletic Club?
The probability that both Levante and Athletic Club score is 60%. Levante have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Athletic Club 27%.
How many goals should we expect in Levante vs Athletic Club?
The model expects 3.04 goals (1.32 for Levante, 1.72 for Athletic Club). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, over 3.5 goals 36%.
When and where is Levante vs Athletic Club played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 6. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia.
What form are Levante and Athletic Club in?
Levante: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). Athletic Club: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Athletic Club?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Levante, 4 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 4-2 Levante (Feb 8, 2026).
How is the Levante vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.32 for Levante, 1.72 for Athletic Club) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Levante predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
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