La Liga· Kick-off : Monday, October 19, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 9: the Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano match is scheduled on Monday, October 19, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Rayo Vallecano start as favourites with a 45% chance of victory; Getafe are given 26% and the draw 29%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (15.5%), followed by 1-1 (13.0%) and 0-0 (12.6%).
Getafe have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Getafe score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Rayo Vallecano score 1.80 and concede 2.60. In the table, Getafe sit 11th with 8 points from 7 games, Rayo Vallecano 12th with 8 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Getafe have averaged 0.77 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.35 for Rayo Vallecano.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Getafe, 1 for Rayo Vallecano and 1 draw. The most recent ended Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano (May 3, 2026). Getafe out or doubtful: Juanmi, C. Uche, A. Abqar (doubtful), Kiko Femenia (doubtful) and M. Satriano (doubtful). Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, I. Balliu (doubtful), Luiz Felipe (doubtful) and A. Pedrosa (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Getafe or draw" stands at 55%, "Rayo Vallecano or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Rayo Vallecano are favourites for this Getafe v Rayo Vallecano, with a 45% win probability from our model. In the table, Getafe (11th, 8 pts) host Rayo Vallecano (12th, 8 pts). One to watch: Getafe will be without Juanmi and C. Uche.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Getafe – Rayo Vallecano. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Getafe 0-1 Rayo Vallecano | 15.5% |
| Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | 13.0% |
| Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano | 12.6% |
| Getafe 1-0 Rayo Vallecano | 10.6% |
| Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | 9.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.84 expected goals for Getafe and 1.23 for Rayo Vallecano, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 34% and "both teams to score" at 40%. Few goals are expected here. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Rayo Vallecano in 43%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Getafe expected goals | 0.84 |
| Rayo Vallecano expected goals | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 29% |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 43% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
Rayo Vallecano
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-5 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 8 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Getafe
- Juanmi (out)
- C. Uche (out)
- A. Abqar (doubtful)
- Kiko Femenia (doubtful)
- M. Satriano (doubtful)
Rayo Vallecano
- A. Batalla (out)
- I. Balliu (doubtful)
- Luiz Felipe (doubtful)
- A. Pedrosa (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Getafe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Satriano5/5
- J. Mojica4/5
- N. Gudelj4/5
- O. Mangala4/5
- Z. Romero4/5
- D. Soria3/5
- Djene3/5
- E. Unal3/5
- R. Terrats3/5
- Andrés García2/5
- D. Dakonam2/5
Rayo Vallecano
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Lejeune5/5
- P. Ciss5/5
- A. Garcia4/5
- S. Camello4/5
- U. Lopez4/5
- A. Pedrosa3/5
- A. Ratiu3/5
- E. Audero3/5
- P. Diaz3/5
- D. Cardenas2/5
- G. Bouare2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo La Coruna – LevanteOct 16, 2026
- Espanyol – Atletico MadridOct 17, 2026
- Villarreal – ElcheOct 17, 2026
- Real Betis – BarcelonaOct 17, 2026
- Valencia – Athletic ClubOct 17, 2026
- Osasuna – Racing SantanderOct 18, 2026
- Celta Vigo – AlavesOct 18, 2026
- Malaga – Real SociedadOct 18, 2026
- Real Madrid – SevillaOct 18, 2026
- Levante – Athletic ClubOct 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Our AI gives Getafe a 26% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Rayo Vallecano 45%. Rayo Vallecano are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
0-1 (15.5%), followed by 1-1 (13.0%), 0-0 (12.6%), 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%).
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
The probability that both Getafe and Rayo Vallecano score is 40%. Getafe have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rayo Vallecano 43%.
How many goals should we expect in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model expects 2.07 goals (0.84 for Getafe, 1.23 for Rayo Vallecano). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 61%, over 2.5 goals 34%, over 3.5 goals 16%.
When and where is Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano played?
Monday, October 19, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 9. Venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe.
What form are Getafe and Rayo Vallecano in?
Getafe: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). Rayo Vallecano: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Getafe, 1 for Rayo Vallecano and 1 draw. The most recent ended Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano (May 3, 2026).
How is the Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.84 for Getafe, 1.23 for Rayo Vallecano) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Getafe predictions
- All Rayo Vallecano predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology