La Liga· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 9: the Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante match is scheduled on Friday, October 16, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna. Our model makes Deportivo La Coruna clear favourites: a 62% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 18% for Levante. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.3%).
Deportivo La Coruna have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Levante have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Deportivo La Coruna score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Levante score 1.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, Deportivo La Coruna sit 7th with 10 points from 7 games, Levante 17th with 5 points from 6. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Deportivo La Coruna have averaged 1.48 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.54 for Levante.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Levante and 2 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Levante (Jan 25, 2025). In double chance terms, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" stands at 82%, "Levante or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Our model backs Deportivo La Coruna to edge Levante (62% probability). On recent form, Deportivo La Coruna have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Levante have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 62%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo La Coruna – Levante. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Levante | 9.9% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Levante | 9.3% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 Levante | 9.3% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Levante | 8.7% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Levante | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.12 expected goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.07 for Levante, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 62% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Goals look likely in this one. Deportivo La Coruna keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Levante in 12%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna expected goals | 2.12 |
| Levante expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 34% |
| Levante clean sheet | 12% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Porto · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Penafiel · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
Levante
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| Levante | 17 | 5 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Levante | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Levante 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna | Segunda División |
| Jan 27, 2018 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Levante | La Liga |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Levante 2-2 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Levante | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Deportivo La Coruna
No absences reported.
Levante
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Deportivo La Coruna
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Roman4/5
- B. Nsongo3/5
- G. Quagliata3/5
- J. Asp3/5
- J. Gimenez3/5
- M. Loureiro3/5
- M. Soriano3/5
- Y. Hernandez3/5
- A. Altimira2/5
- A. Comas2/5
- Angelino2/5
Levante
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mandi5/5
- Dela5/5
- M. Ryan5/5
- E. Bardeli4/5
- J. A. Olasagasti4/5
- M. Sanchez4/5
- R. Brugue4/5
- I. Romero3/5
- N. Perez3/5
- O. Rey3/5
- T. Fernandez3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Levante – SevillaOct 12, 2026
- Espanyol – Atletico MadridOct 17, 2026
- Villarreal – ElcheOct 17, 2026
- Real Betis – BarcelonaOct 17, 2026
- Valencia – Athletic ClubOct 17, 2026
- Osasuna – Racing SantanderOct 18, 2026
- Celta Vigo – AlavesOct 18, 2026
- Malaga – Real SociedadOct 18, 2026
- Real Madrid – SevillaOct 18, 2026
- Getafe – Rayo VallecanoOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction?
Our AI gives Deportivo La Coruna a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Levante 18%. Deportivo La Coruna are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
2-1 (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (9.3%), 1-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
The probability that both Deportivo La Coruna and Levante score is 58%. Deportivo La Coruna have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levante 12%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
The model expects 3.19 goals (2.12 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.07 for Levante). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.
When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante played?
Friday, October 16, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 9. Venue: Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna.
What form are Deportivo La Coruna and Levante in?
Deportivo La Coruna: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Levante: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Levante?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Levante and 2 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Levante (Jan 25, 2025).
How is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.12 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.07 for Levante) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo La Coruna predictions
- All Levante predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

