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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

La Liga, matchday 9: the Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante match is scheduled on Friday, October 16, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna. Our model makes Deportivo La Coruna clear favourites: a 62% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 18% for Levante. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.3%).

Deportivo La Coruna have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Levante have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Deportivo La Coruna score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Levante score 1.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, Deportivo La Coruna sit 7th with 10 points from 7 games, Levante 17th with 5 points from 6. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Deportivo La Coruna have averaged 1.48 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.54 for Levante.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Levante and 2 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Levante (Jan 25, 2025). In double chance terms, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" stands at 82%, "Levante or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 80%.

In short : Our model backs Deportivo La Coruna to edge Levante (62% probability). On recent form, Deportivo La Coruna have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Levante have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 62%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

62%
Deportivo La Coruna (Win)
20%
Draw
18%
Levante (Win)

Double chance

82%
Deportivo La Coruna or draw
38%
Levante or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Deportivo La Coruna – Levante. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Levante9.9%
Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Levante9.3%
Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 Levante9.3%
Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Levante8.7%
Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Levante7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.12 expected goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.07 for Levante, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 62% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Goals look likely in this one. Deportivo La Coruna keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Levante in 12%.

Probability
Deportivo La Coruna expected goals2.12
Levante expected goals1.07
Both teams to score58%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet34%
Levante clean sheet12%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Deportivo La Coruna

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026FC Porto · Club Friendlies1-3L
Sep 25, 2026Penafiel · Club Friendlies2-2D
Sep 20, 2026Real Betis · La Liga1-1D
Sep 16, 2026Sevilla · La Liga0-1L
Sep 13, 2026Getafe · La Liga1-1D

Levante

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Villarreal · La Liga1-3L
Sep 13, 2026Barcelona · La Liga2-4L
Sep 6, 2026Malaga · La Liga0-0D
Aug 29, 2026Real Betis · La Liga5-2W
Aug 24, 2026Osasuna · La Liga0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportivo La Coruna7107
Levante1756

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2025Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 LevanteSegunda División
Oct 24, 2024Levante 2-1 Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División
Jan 27, 2018Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 LevanteLa Liga
Aug 26, 2017Levante 2-2 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
Mar 19, 2016Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 LevanteLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Deportivo La Coruna

No absences reported.

Levante

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Deportivo La Coruna

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Roman4/5
  • B. Nsongo3/5
  • G. Quagliata3/5
  • J. Asp3/5
  • J. Gimenez3/5
  • M. Loureiro3/5
  • M. Soriano3/5
  • Y. Hernandez3/5
  • A. Altimira2/5
  • A. Comas2/5
  • Angelino2/5

Levante

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Mandi5/5
  • Dela5/5
  • M. Ryan5/5
  • E. Bardeli4/5
  • J. A. Olasagasti4/5
  • M. Sanchez4/5
  • R. Brugue4/5
  • I. Romero3/5
  • N. Perez3/5
  • O. Rey3/5
  • T. Fernandez3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction?

Our AI gives Deportivo La Coruna a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Levante 18%. Deportivo La Coruna are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?

2-1 (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (9.3%), 1-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?

The probability that both Deportivo La Coruna and Levante score is 58%. Deportivo La Coruna have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levante 12%.

How many goals should we expect in Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?

The model expects 3.19 goals (2.12 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.07 for Levante). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.

When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante played?

Friday, October 16, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 9. Venue: Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna.

What form are Deportivo La Coruna and Levante in?

Deportivo La Coruna: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Levante: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Levante?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Levante and 2 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Levante (Jan 25, 2025).

How is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.12 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.07 for Levante) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained