La Liga· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Levante vs Sevilla prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 8: Levante vs Sevilla kicks off on Monday, October 12, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. The edge goes to Levante (45%), ahead of the draw (31%) and a Sevilla win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (17.8%), ahead of 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (12.8%).
Levante have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Sevilla have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Levante score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Sevilla score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Levante sit 17th with 5 points from 6 games, Sevilla 5th with 13 points from 7. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Levante have averaged 1.54 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.53 for Sevilla.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Levante, 3 for Sevilla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Levante 2-0 Sevilla (Apr 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Levante or draw" stands at 76%, "Sevilla or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : Our model backs Levante to edge Sevilla (45% probability). In the table, Levante (17th, 5 pts) host Sevilla (5th, 13 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Levante – Sevilla. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Levante 1-0 Sevilla | 17.8% |
| Levante 0-0 Sevilla | 15.7% |
| Levante 1-1 Sevilla | 12.8% |
| Levante 0-1 Sevilla | 11.3% |
| Levante 2-0 Sevilla | 10.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.85 goals in total (1.13 for Levante, 0.72 for Sevilla): over 2.5 goals has a 28% probability and both teams to score 35%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Levante keep a clean sheet in 49% of scenarios, Sevilla in 32%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Levante expected goals | 1.13 |
| Sevilla expected goals | 0.72 |
| Both teams to score | 35% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% |
| Levante clean sheet | 49% |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 32% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Levante
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Sevilla
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 17 | 5 | 6 |
| Sevilla | 5 | 13 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Levante 2-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Sevilla 0-3 Levante | La Liga |
| Apr 21, 2022 | Levante 2-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Sevilla 5-3 Levante | La Liga |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Levante 0-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Levante
No absences reported.
Sevilla
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Levante
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mandi5/5
- Dela5/5
- M. Ryan5/5
- E. Bardeli4/5
- J. A. Olasagasti4/5
- M. Sanchez4/5
- R. Brugue4/5
- I. Romero3/5
- N. Perez3/5
- O. Rey3/5
- T. Fernandez3/5
Sevilla
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Suazo4/4
- J. Iglesias4/4
- L. Agoume4/4
- M. Sierra4/4
- O. Vlachodimos4/4
- Castrin3/4
- F. Correia3/4
- K. Salas3/4
- Y. Fofana3/4
- A. Sangante2/4
- G. Kochorashvili2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Alaves – Atletico MadridOct 10, 2026
- Barcelona – GetafeOct 10, 2026
- Real Madrid – VillarrealOct 10, 2026
- Elche – Celta VigoOct 11, 2026
- Real Sociedad – Deportivo La CorunaOct 11, 2026
- Real Betis – OsasunaOct 11, 2026
- Racing Santander – ValenciaOct 11, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna – LevanteOct 16, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Levante vs Sevilla prediction?
Our AI gives Levante a 45% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sevilla 24%. Levante are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Levante vs Sevilla?
1-0 (17.8%), followed by 0-0 (15.7%), 1-1 (12.8%), 0-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.0%).
Will both teams score in Levante vs Sevilla?
The probability that both Levante and Sevilla score is 35%. Levante have a 49% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sevilla 32%.
How many goals should we expect in Levante vs Sevilla?
The model expects 1.85 goals (1.13 for Levante, 0.72 for Sevilla). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 55%, over 2.5 goals 28%, over 3.5 goals 12%.
When and where is Levante vs Sevilla played?
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 8. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia.
What form are Levante and Sevilla in?
Levante: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). Sevilla: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Sevilla?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Levante, 3 for Sevilla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Levante 2-0 Sevilla (Apr 23, 2026).
How is the Levante vs Sevilla prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.13 for Levante, 0.72 for Sevilla) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.