La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 8: Real Betis vs Osasuna kicks off on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville. With a 81% win probability, Real Betis go in as strong favourites against Osasuna (7%), with the draw rated at 12%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (9.7%), ahead of 2-0 (9.5%) and 3-1 (8.1%).
Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Osasuna have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 12. Recent momentum is clearly with Real Betis. On average Real Betis score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Osasuna score 0.80 and concede 2.40. In the table, Real Betis sit 3rd with 16 points from 7 games, Osasuna 13th with 8 points from 7. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Real Betis have averaged 1.76 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.46 for Osasuna.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Real Betis, 0 for Osasuna and 2 draws. The most recent ended Osasuna 1-1 Real Betis (Apr 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "Real Betis or draw" stands at 93%, "Osasuna or draw" at 19% and "no draw" at 88%.
In short : Real Betis are tipped by our AI model in this Real Betis v Osasuna (81%). On recent form, Real Betis are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Osasuna have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Real Betis – Osasuna. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Real Betis 3-0 Osasuna | 9.7% |
| Real Betis 2-0 Osasuna | 9.5% |
| Real Betis 3-1 Osasuna | 8.1% |
| Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna | 8.0% |
| Real Betis 4-0 Osasuna | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.89 goals in total (3.05 for Real Betis, 0.84 for Osasuna): over 2.5 goals has a 75% probability and both teams to score 54%. Everything points to an open game. Real Betis keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Osasuna in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Real Betis expected goals | 3.05 |
| Osasuna expected goals | 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 43% |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Real Betis
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lille · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
Osasuna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 2-5 | L |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 3 | 16 | 7 |
| Osasuna | 13 | 8 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Osasuna 1-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Real Betis 2-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | Real Betis 1-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Osasuna 1-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Osasuna 0-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Real Betis
No absences reported.
Osasuna
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Real Betis
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Natan5/5
- Antony4/5
- Isco4/5
- A. Ezzalzouli3/5
- A. Valles3/5
- F. Bernal3/5
- H. Bellerin3/5
- P. Fornals3/5
- Álvaro Vallés2/5
- C. Hernandez2/5
- F. Garcia2/5
Osasuna
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Garcia6/5
- A. Budimir4/5
- I. Arguibide4/5
- A. Bretones3/5
- A. Catena3/5
- I. Munoz3/5
- J. Moncayola3/5
- S. Herrera3/5
- F. Boyomo2/5
- M. Gomez2/5
- R. Yeboah2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Malaga – EspanyolOct 9, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano – Athletic ClubOct 10, 2026
- Alaves – Atletico MadridOct 10, 2026
- Barcelona – GetafeOct 10, 2026
- Real Madrid – VillarrealOct 10, 2026
- Elche – Celta VigoOct 11, 2026
- Real Sociedad – Deportivo La CorunaOct 11, 2026
- Racing Santander – ValenciaOct 11, 2026
- Levante – SevillaOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction?
Our AI gives Real Betis a 81% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Osasuna 7%. Real Betis are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Betis vs Osasuna?
3-0 (9.7%), followed by 2-0 (9.5%), 3-1 (8.1%), 2-1 (8.0%) and 4-0 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
The probability that both Real Betis and Osasuna score is 54%. Real Betis have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Osasuna 5%.
How many goals should we expect in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
The model expects 3.89 goals (3.05 for Real Betis, 0.84 for Osasuna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 55%.
When and where is Real Betis vs Osasuna played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 8. Venue: Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville.
What form are Real Betis and Osasuna in?
Real Betis: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Osasuna: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 12 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Betis and Osasuna?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Real Betis, 0 for Osasuna and 2 draws. The most recent ended Osasuna 1-1 Real Betis (Apr 12, 2026).
How is the Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.05 for Real Betis, 0.84 for Osasuna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Real Betis predictions
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