La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 15:15 (UK time)
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 8: the Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna match is scheduled on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 15:15 (UK time). Venue: Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian. The edge goes to Real Sociedad (47%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Deportivo La Coruna win (29%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.1%), ahead of 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Real Sociedad have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Deportivo La Coruna have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Real Sociedad score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Real Sociedad sit 8th with 10 points from 7 games, Deportivo La Coruna 7th with 10 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Real Sociedad have averaged 1.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.48 for Deportivo La Coruna.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Real Sociedad, 1 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Sociedad 5-0 Deportivo La Coruna (Feb 2, 2018). In double chance terms, "Real Sociedad or draw" stands at 71%, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Real Sociedad to edge Deportivo La Coruna (47% probability). In the table, Real Sociedad (8th, 10 pts) host Deportivo La Coruna (7th, 10 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 57%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Real Sociedad – Deportivo La Coruna. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | 11.1% |
| Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna | 9.4% |
| Real Sociedad 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna | 8.7% |
| Real Sociedad 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna | 7.3% |
| Real Sociedad 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.97 goals in total (1.69 for Real Sociedad, 1.28 for Deportivo La Coruna): over 2.5 goals has a 57% probability and both teams to score 59%. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Deportivo La Coruna in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad expected goals | 1.69 |
| Deportivo La Coruna expected goals | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 28% |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Real Sociedad
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Athletic Club · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Bournemouth · UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Porto · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Penafiel · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2018 | Real Sociedad 5-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-4 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Dec 5, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Real Sociedad
No absences reported.
Deportivo La Coruna
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Real Sociedad
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Guedes4/5
- A. Remiro3/5
- C. Soler3/5
- J. Aramburu3/5
- L. Beitia3/5
- L. Sucic3/5
- M. Oyarzabal3/5
- M. Sarr3/5
- S. Gomez3/5
- Y. Herrera3/5
- J. Gorrotxategi2/5
Deportivo La Coruna
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Roman4/5
- B. Nsongo3/5
- G. Quagliata3/5
- J. Asp3/5
- J. Gimenez3/5
- M. Loureiro3/5
- M. Soriano3/5
- Y. Hernandez3/5
- A. Altimira2/5
- A. Comas2/5
- Angelino2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Alaves – Atletico MadridOct 10, 2026
- Barcelona – GetafeOct 10, 2026
- Real Madrid – VillarrealOct 10, 2026
- Elche – Celta VigoOct 11, 2026
- Real Betis – OsasunaOct 11, 2026
- Racing Santander – ValenciaOct 11, 2026
- Levante – SevillaOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction?
Our AI gives Real Sociedad a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo La Coruna 29%. Real Sociedad are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
1-1 (11.1%), followed by 2-1 (9.4%), 1-0 (8.7%), 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-2 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The probability that both Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna score is 59%. Real Sociedad have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportivo La Coruna 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model expects 2.97 goals (1.69 for Real Sociedad, 1.28 for Deportivo La Coruna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 35%.
When and where is Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 15:15 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 8. Venue: Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian.
What form are Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna in?
Real Sociedad: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Deportivo La Coruna: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Real Sociedad, 1 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Sociedad 5-0 Deportivo La Coruna (Feb 2, 2018).
How is the Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for Real Sociedad, 1.28 for Deportivo La Coruna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Real Sociedad predictions
- All Deportivo La Coruna predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology