La Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 13:00 (UK time)· Match cancelled
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Rayo Vallecano take on Athletic Club on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), a La Liga, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid. It is a tight call: 35% for Rayo Vallecano, 28% for the draw and 36% for Athletic Club.
Over their last 5 matches, Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 1. Athletic Club therefore arrive in far better shape than Rayo Vallecano. On average Rayo Vallecano score 1.80 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Athletic Club score 1.40 and concede 0.20. In the table, Rayo Vallecano sit 13th with 8 points from 7 games, Athletic Club 10th with 8 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.35 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.09 for Athletic Club.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 4 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Club (Feb 28, 2026). Rayo Vallecano out or doubtful: A. Batalla, I. Balliu (doubtful) and Luiz Felipe (doubtful). Athletic Club: A. Djalo, U. Egiluz, O. Sancet and N. Williams. In double chance terms, "Rayo Vallecano or draw" stands at 64%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 72%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Rayo Vallecano
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-5 | L |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Sociedad · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 8 | 7 |
| Athletic Club | 10 | 8 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Athletic Club 1-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Athletic Club 3-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Rayo Vallecano
- A. Batalla (out)
- I. Balliu (doubtful)
- Luiz Felipe (doubtful)
Athletic Club
- A. Djalo (out)
- U. Egiluz (out)
- O. Sancet (out)
- N. Williams (out)
Most regular starters
Rayo Vallecano
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Lejeune5/5
- P. Ciss5/5
- A. Garcia4/5
- S. Camello4/5
- U. Lopez4/5
- A. Pedrosa3/5
- A. Ratiu3/5
- E. Audero3/5
- P. Diaz3/5
- D. Cardenas2/5
- G. Bouare2/5
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Navarro5/5
- A. Laporte4/5
- I. Ruiz de Galarreta4/5
- I. Williams4/5
- O. Sancet4/5
- U. Simon4/5
- Y. Berchiche4/5
- A. Paredes3/5
- B. Gerenabarrena3/5
- J. Areso3/5
- N. Williams3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Malaga 1-1 EspanyolOct 9, 2026
- Alaves 1-2 Atletico MadridOct 10, 2026
- Barcelona 3-0 GetafeOct 10, 2026
- Real Madrid 1-0 VillarrealOct 10, 2026
- Elche 0-0 Celta VigoOct 11, 2026
- Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La CorunaOct 11, 2026
- Real Betis 5-2 OsasunaOct 11, 2026
- Racing Santander 2-2 ValenciaOct 11, 2026
- Levante 3-3 SevillaOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction?
Our AI gives Rayo Vallecano a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Athletic Club 36%. Athletic Club are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 8. Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club in?
Rayo Vallecano: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded). Athletic Club: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 1 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 4 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Club (Feb 28, 2026).
Go further
- All Rayo Vallecano predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology