La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
La Liga, matchday 8: the Racing Santander vs Valencia match is scheduled on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: El Sardinero, Santander. With a 62% win probability, Racing Santander go in as strong favourites against Valencia (16%), with the draw rated at 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (13.1%), ahead of 2-0 (12.1%) and 1-1 (10.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Racing Santander have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Valencia have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 12. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Racing Santander score 1.80 and concede 3.60 goals per game; Valencia score 0.80 and concede 2.40. In the table, Racing Santander sit 16th with 7 points from 7 games, Valencia 19th with 4 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Racing Santander have averaged 1.40 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.06 for Valencia.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Racing Santander, 2 for Valencia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia (Jan 29, 2012). In double chance terms, "Racing Santander or draw" stands at 84%, "Valencia or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Our model backs Racing Santander to edge Valencia (62% probability). On recent form, Racing Santander have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Valencia are struggling (4 losses in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 46%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Racing Santander – Valencia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Racing Santander 1-0 Valencia | 13.1% |
| Racing Santander 2-0 Valencia | 12.1% |
| Racing Santander 1-1 Valencia | 10.5% |
| Racing Santander 2-1 Valencia | 9.7% |
| Racing Santander 3-0 Valencia | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.84 for Racing Santander, 0.80 for Valencia): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 46%. Racing Santander keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Valencia in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Racing Santander expected goals | 1.84 |
| Valencia expected goals | 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 45% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Racing Santander
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-7 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
Valencia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 0-5 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 16 | 7 | 7 |
| Valencia | 19 | 4 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2012 | Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia | La Liga |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Valencia 4-3 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Jan 31, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2010 | Valencia 1-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Racing Santander
No absences reported.
Valencia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Racing Santander
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Agirrezabala4/5
- S. Canales4/5
- A. Mantilla3/5
- F. Gonzalez3/5
- I. Martin3/5
- I. Vicente3/5
- J. Salinas3/5
- M. Prati3/5
- Manu Hernando3/5
- Y. Zabiri3/5
- A. Martin2/5
Valencia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Ugrinic5/5
- Pepelu5/5
- S. Dimitrievski5/5
- A. Danjuma4/5
- J. Guerra4/5
- A. Martinez3/5
- A. Dieng2/5
- C. Tarrega2/5
- D. Otorbi2/5
- J. Gaya2/5
- J. Vazquez2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Malaga – EspanyolOct 9, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano – Athletic ClubOct 10, 2026
- Alaves – Atletico MadridOct 10, 2026
- Barcelona – GetafeOct 10, 2026
- Real Madrid – VillarrealOct 10, 2026
- Elche – Celta VigoOct 11, 2026
- Real Sociedad – Deportivo La CorunaOct 11, 2026
- Real Betis – OsasunaOct 11, 2026
- Levante – SevillaOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction?
Our AI gives Racing Santander a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valencia 16%. Racing Santander are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Racing Santander vs Valencia?
1-0 (13.1%), followed by 2-0 (12.1%), 1-1 (10.5%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 3-0 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
The probability that both Racing Santander and Valencia score is 46%. Racing Santander have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Valencia 16%.
How many goals should we expect in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.84 for Racing Santander, 0.80 for Valencia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Racing Santander vs Valencia played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 8. Venue: El Sardinero, Santander.
What form are Racing Santander and Valencia in?
Racing Santander: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 18 conceded). Valencia: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 12 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Racing Santander and Valencia?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Racing Santander, 2 for Valencia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia (Jan 29, 2012).
How is the Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.84 for Racing Santander, 0.80 for Valencia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Racing Santander predictions
- All Valencia predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology