La Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Barcelona vs Getafe prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Barcelona take on Getafe on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), a La Liga, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona. With a 94% win probability, Barcelona go in as strong favourites against Getafe (1%), with the draw rated at 5%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (12.7%), ahead of 4-0 (12.7%) and 5-0 (10.2%).
Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 24 and conceding 6. Getafe have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Barcelona. On average Barcelona score 4.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Getafe score 0.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Barcelona sit 1st with 21 points from 7 games, Getafe 11th with 8 points from 7. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Barcelona have averaged 3.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.77 for Getafe.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Barcelona, 0 for Getafe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Getafe 0-2 Barcelona (Apr 25, 2026). Barcelona out or doubtful: R. Bardghji, J. Garcia and F. de Jong. Getafe: A. Abqar, Juanmi, Kiko Femenia, M. Martin (suspended) and C. Uche. In double chance terms, "Barcelona or draw" stands at 99%, "Getafe or draw" at 6% and "no draw" at 95%.
In short : Barcelona are favourites for this Barcelona v Getafe, with a 94% win probability from our model. In the table, Barcelona (1st, 21 pts) host Getafe (11th, 8 pts). One to watch: Getafe will be without A. Abqar and Juanmi.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Barcelona – Getafe. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Barcelona 3-0 Getafe | 12.7% |
| Barcelona 4-0 Getafe | 12.7% |
| Barcelona 5-0 Getafe | 10.2% |
| Barcelona 2-0 Getafe | 9.5% |
| Barcelona 6-0 Getafe | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.43 goals in total (4.00 for Barcelona, 0.43 for Getafe): over 2.5 goals has a 82% probability and both teams to score 34%. Everything points to an open game. Barcelona keep a clean sheet in 65% of scenarios, Getafe in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Barcelona expected goals | 4.00 |
| Getafe expected goals | 0.43 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 65% |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 65% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Barcelona
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 7-2 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 5-0 | W |
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1 | 21 | 7 |
| Getafe | 11 | 8 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Getafe 0-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Barcelona 3-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Getafe 1-1 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Barcelona 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Barcelona 4-0 Getafe | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Barcelona
- R. Bardghji (out)
- J. Garcia (out)
- F. de Jong (out)
Getafe
- A. Abqar (out)
- Juanmi (out)
- Kiko Femenia (out)
- M. Martin (suspended)
- C. Uche (out)
Most regular starters
Barcelona
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Lamine Yamal5/5
- Pedri5/5
- Raphinha5/5
- Rodri5/5
- J. Garcia4/5
- A. Christensen3/5
- A. Gordon3/5
- E. Garcia3/5
- G. Martin3/5
- P. Cubarsi3/5
- D. Olmo2/5
Getafe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Satriano5/5
- J. Mojica4/5
- N. Gudelj4/5
- O. Mangala4/5
- Z. Romero4/5
- D. Soria3/5
- Djene3/5
- E. Unal3/5
- R. Terrats3/5
- Andrés García2/5
- D. Dakonam2/5
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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Rayo Vallecano – Athletic ClubOct 10, 2026
- Alaves – Atletico MadridOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Barcelona vs Getafe prediction?
Our AI gives Barcelona a 94% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Getafe 1%. Barcelona are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Barcelona vs Getafe?
3-0 (12.7%), followed by 4-0 (12.7%), 5-0 (10.2%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 6-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Getafe?
The probability that both Barcelona and Getafe score is 34%. Barcelona have a 65% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Getafe 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Barcelona vs Getafe?
The model expects 4.43 goals (4.00 for Barcelona, 0.43 for Getafe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 65%.
When and where is Barcelona vs Getafe played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 8. Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona.
What form are Barcelona and Getafe in?
Barcelona: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (24 scored, 6 conceded). Getafe: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Getafe?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Barcelona, 0 for Getafe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Getafe 0-2 Barcelona (Apr 25, 2026).
How is the Barcelona vs Getafe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Barcelona, 0.43 for Getafe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Barcelona predictions
- All Getafe predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology