La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Elche vs Valencia: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Elche 0-1 Valencia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Elche (53%), while victory for Valencia was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
Elche vs Valencia was played on Sunday, November 1, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 11). Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche. Before kick-off, our model gave Elche a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valencia 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.4%), ahead of 1-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
Elche are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 2. Valencia have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Elche. On average Elche score 1.80 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Valencia score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Elche sit 16th with 10 points from 10 games, Valencia 19th with 6 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Elche have averaged 1.20 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.29 for Valencia.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Elche, 2 for Valencia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Elche 1-0 Valencia (Apr 11, 2026). Elche out or doubtful: M. Aguado. Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott (suspended), D. Lopez, D. Otorbi and K. van Oevelen. In double chance terms, "Elche or draw" stands at 78%, "Valencia or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Elche are tipped by our AI model in this Elche v Valencia (53%). On recent form, Elche have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Valencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Elche – Valencia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Elche 1-0 Valencia | 12.4% |
| Elche 1-1 Valencia | 11.7% |
| Elche 2-0 Valencia | 10.1% |
| Elche 2-1 Valencia | 9.6% |
| Elche 0-0 Valencia | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.63 for Elche, 0.95 for Valencia): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 49%. Elche keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Valencia in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Elche expected goals | 1.63 |
| Valencia expected goals | 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Elche clean sheet | 39% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Elche
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Pinatar · Copa del Rey | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 3-1 | W |
Valencia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 16 | 10 | 10 |
| Valencia | 19 | 6 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Elche 1-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Valencia 1-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Elche 0-2 Valencia | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Valencia 2-2 Elche | La Liga |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Elche 0-1 Valencia | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Elche
- M. Aguado (out)
Valencia
- S. Canos (out)
- J. Copete (out)
- H. Elliott (suspended)
- D. Lopez (out)
- D. Otorbi (out)
- K. van Oevelen (out)
Most regular starters
Elche
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Valera4/5
- G. Villar4/5
- J. Morcillo4/5
- M. Dituro4/5
- R. Revivo4/5
- T. Lemar4/5
- V. Chust4/5
- Buba Sangare3/5
- F. Nino3/5
- L. Cepeda3/5
- F. Redondo Solari2/5
Valencia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Pepelu5/5
- S. Dimitrievski5/5
- A. Danjuma4/5
- G. Rodriguez4/5
- H. Duro4/5
- J. De Haas4/5
- J. Gaya4/5
- J. Guerra4/5
- P. Maffeo4/5
- F. Ugrinic3/5
- A. Mayol2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Villarreal 0-1 EspanyolOct 30, 2026
- Levante 0-2 Atletico MadridOct 31, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta VigoOct 31, 2026
- Real Betis 2-1 MalagaOct 31, 2026
- Barcelona 6-1 AlavesOct 31, 2026
- Getafe 3-1 SevillaNov 1, 2026
- Racing Santander 0-3 Real MadridNov 1, 2026
- Athletic Club 2-1 Real SociedadNov 1, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 OsasunaNov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Elche vs Valencia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Elche a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valencia 22%. Elche are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Elche vs Valencia?
1-0 (12.4%), followed by 1-1 (11.7%), 2-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 0-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Elche vs Valencia?
The probability that both Elche and Valencia score is 49%. Elche have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Valencia 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Elche vs Valencia?
The model expects 2.58 goals (1.63 for Elche, 0.95 for Valencia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Elche vs Valencia played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 11. Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche.
What form are Elche and Valencia in?
Elche: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 2 conceded). Valencia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Valencia?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Elche, 2 for Valencia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Elche 1-0 Valencia (Apr 11, 2026).
What was the Elche vs Valencia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Elche 0-1 Valencia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Elche (53%), while victory for Valencia was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the Elche vs Valencia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.63 for Elche, 0.95 for Valencia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.