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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna2 – 1OsasunaOsasuna

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Osasuna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Osasuna (42%), while victory for Deportivo La Coruna was rated at only 37%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (7.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (71%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (71%): correct.

Match analysis

Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna was played on Monday, November 2, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 11). Venue: Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo La Coruna a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Osasuna 42%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (8.5%), ahead of 1-2 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.6%).

Deportivo La Coruna have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Osasuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Deportivo La Coruna score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Osasuna score 2.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Deportivo La Coruna sit 13th with 11 points from 10 games, Osasuna 15th with 11 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Deportivo La Coruna have averaged 1.64 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.07 for Osasuna.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Osasuna and 1 draw. The most recent ended Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Osasuna (Dec 16, 2021). Deportivo La Coruna out or doubtful: P. Aubameyang, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri and B. Ede. Osasuna: R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando and A. Oroz. In double chance terms, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" stands at 58%, "Osasuna or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 79%.

In short : Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 21%). In the table, Deportivo La Coruna (13th, 11 pts) host Osasuna (15th, 11 pts). One to watch: Deportivo La Coruna will be without P. Aubameyang and M. Casado.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Deportivo La Coruna (Win)
21%
Draw
42%
Osasuna (Win)

Double chance

58%
Deportivo La Coruna or draw
63%
Osasuna or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Deportivo La Coruna – Osasuna. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Osasuna8.5%
Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Osasuna8.1%
Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Osasuna7.6%
Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Osasuna7.2%
Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 Osasuna5.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.69 goals in total (1.78 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.91 for Osasuna): over 2.5 goals has a 71% probability and both teams to score 71%. Everything points to an open game. Deportivo La Coruna keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Osasuna in 17%.

Probability
Deportivo La Coruna expected goals1.78
Osasuna expected goals1.91
Both teams to score71%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet15%
Osasuna clean sheet17%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Deportivo La Coruna

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Auriense · Copa del Rey3-0W
Oct 24, 2026Atletico Madrid · La Liga0-1L
Oct 16, 2026Levante · La Liga1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga2-3L
Oct 2, 2026FC Porto · Club Friendlies1-3L

Osasuna

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Atletico Calatayud · Copa del Rey6-0W
Oct 26, 2026Sevilla · La Liga0-2L
Oct 18, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga2-0W
Oct 11, 2026Real Betis · La Liga2-5L
Sep 19, 2026Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportivo La Coruna131110
Osasuna151110

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 16, 2021Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 OsasunaCopa del Rey
Apr 13, 2019Osasuna 2-1 Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División
Nov 24, 2018Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 OsasunaSegunda División
Apr 30, 2017Osasuna 2-2 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
Dec 18, 2016Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 OsasunaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Deportivo La Coruna

  • P. Aubameyang (out)
  • M. Casado (out)
  • Z. Eddahchouri (out)
  • B. Ede (out)

Osasuna

  • R. Del Castillo (out)
  • J. Herrando (out)
  • A. Oroz (out)

Most regular starters

Deportivo La Coruna

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Villares Yanez5/5
  • G. Quagliata4/5
  • L. Roman4/5
  • M. Soriano4/5
  • Y. Hernandez4/5
  • B. Nsongo3/5
  • D. Mella3/5
  • J. Gimenez3/5
  • X. Navarro3/5
  • A. Comas2/5
  • B. Ede2/5

Osasuna

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • R. Garcia5/5
  • A. Budimir4/5
  • A. Catena3/5
  • A. Fernandez3/5
  • I. Arguibide3/5
  • I. Munoz3/5
  • J. Moncayola3/5
  • U. Santos3/5
  • A. Bretones2/5
  • A. Osambela2/5
  • D. Rico2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo La Coruna a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Osasuna 42%. Osasuna are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?

1-1 (8.5%), followed by 1-2 (8.1%), 2-1 (7.6%), 2-2 (7.2%) and 1-3 (5.2%).

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?

The probability that both Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna score is 71%. Deportivo La Coruna have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Osasuna 17%.

How many goals should we expect in Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?

The model expects 3.69 goals (1.78 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.91 for Osasuna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 71%, over 3.5 goals 50%.

When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 11. Venue: Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna.

What form are Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna in?

Deportivo La Coruna: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Osasuna: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 2 for Osasuna and 1 draw. The most recent ended Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Osasuna (Dec 16, 2021).

What was the Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Osasuna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Osasuna (42%), while victory for Deportivo La Coruna was rated at only 37%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (7.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (71%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (71%): correct.

How is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.78 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.91 for Osasuna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained