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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 15:15 (UK time)

Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

Racing SantanderRacing Santander0 – 3Real MadridReal Madrid

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-2

Final score: Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Real Madrid at 78%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): correct.

Match analysis

Racing Santander and Real Madrid met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: El Sardinero, Santander. Before kick-off, our model gave Racing Santander a 9% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Real Madrid 78%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (9.2%), followed by 0-3 (9.0%) and 1-2 (8.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Racing Santander have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 15 and conceding 6. Real Madrid therefore arrive in far better shape than Racing Santander. On average Racing Santander score 1.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Real Madrid score 3.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Racing Santander sit 15th with 11 points from 10 games, Real Madrid 3rd with 24 points from 10. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Racing Santander have averaged 1.29 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.07 for Real Madrid.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Racing Santander, 3 for Real Madrid and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Madrid 4-0 Racing Santander (Feb 18, 2012). Racing Santander out or doubtful: A. Martin and J. Salinas (suspended). Real Madrid: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde and Vinicius Junior (suspended). In double chance terms, "Racing Santander or draw" stands at 22%, "Real Madrid or draw" at 91% and "no draw" at 87%.

In short : Real Madrid are tipped by our AI model in this Racing Santander v Real Madrid (78%). On recent form, Racing Santander have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Real Madrid are in good shape (5 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-2.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

9%
Racing Santander (Win)
13%
Draw
78%
Real Madrid (Win)

Double chance

22%
Racing Santander or draw
91%
Real Madrid or draw
87%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Racing Santander – Real Madrid. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Racing Santander 0-2 Real Madrid9.2%
Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid9.0%
Racing Santander 1-2 Real Madrid8.4%
Racing Santander 1-3 Real Madrid8.2%
Racing Santander 0-4 Real Madrid6.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.91 expected goals for Racing Santander and 2.93 for Real Madrid, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 74% and "both teams to score" at 57%. Goals look likely in this one. Racing Santander keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, Real Madrid in 40%.

Probability
Racing Santander expected goals0.91
Real Madrid expected goals2.93
Both teams to score57%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Racing Santander clean sheet5%
Real Madrid clean sheet40%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Racing Santander

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Ribadesella CF · Copa del Rey2-0W
Oct 24, 2026Espanyol · La Liga2-1W
Oct 18, 2026Osasuna · La Liga0-2L
Oct 11, 2026Valencia · La Liga2-2D
Sep 19, 2026Celta Vigo · La Liga0-5L

Real Madrid

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Barcelona · La Liga2-1W
Oct 21, 2026RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League4-1W
Oct 18, 2026Sevilla · La Liga4-1W
Oct 14, 2026AS Roma · UEFA Champions League4-3W
Oct 10, 2026Villarreal · La Liga1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Racing Santander151110
Real Madrid32410

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 18, 2012Real Madrid 4-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
Sep 21, 2011Racing Santander 0-0 Real MadridLa Liga
Mar 6, 2011Racing Santander 1-3 Real MadridLa Liga
Oct 23, 2010Real Madrid 6-1 Racing SantanderLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Racing Santander

  • A. Martin (out)
  • J. Salinas (suspended)

Real Madrid

  • R. Asencio (out)
  • F. Mendy (out)
  • Rodrygo (out)
  • F. Valverde (out)
  • Vinicius Junior (suspended)

Most regular starters

Racing Santander

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Mantilla4/4
  • I. Martin4/4
  • I. Vicente4/4
  • J. Agirrezabala4/4
  • J. Belocian4/4
  • J. Salinas4/4
  • P. Ramon4/4
  • Y. Zabiri4/4
  • A. Almeida3/4
  • M. Prati3/4
  • S. Canales3/4

Real Madrid

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Valverde5/5
  • J. Bellingham5/5
  • T. Courtois4/5
  • Y. Diomande4/5
  • D. Huijsen3/5
  • Kylian Mbappé3/5
  • A. Guler2/5
  • A. Güler2/5
  • A. Rüdiger2/5
  • A. Tchouameni2/5
  • A. Tchouaméni2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Racing Santander vs Real Madrid prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Racing Santander a 9% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Real Madrid 78%. Real Madrid are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

0-2 (9.2%), followed by 0-3 (9.0%), 1-2 (8.4%), 1-3 (8.2%) and 0-4 (6.6%).

Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

The probability that both Racing Santander and Real Madrid score is 57%. Racing Santander have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Real Madrid 40%.

How many goals should we expect in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

The model expects 3.84 goals (0.91 for Racing Santander, 2.93 for Real Madrid). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 54%.

When and where is Racing Santander vs Real Madrid played?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 15:15 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 11. Venue: El Sardinero, Santander.

What form are Racing Santander and Real Madrid in?

Racing Santander: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded). Real Madrid: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Racing Santander and Real Madrid?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Racing Santander, 3 for Real Madrid and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Madrid 4-0 Racing Santander (Feb 18, 2012).

What was the Racing Santander vs Real Madrid result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Real Madrid at 78%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): correct.

How is the Racing Santander vs Real Madrid prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.91 for Racing Santander, 2.93 for Real Madrid) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained