La Liga· Kick-off : Friday, November 6, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Sevilla vs Alaves: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Sevilla 0-0 Alaves. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sevilla (50%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): correct.
Match analysis
Sevilla and Alaves met on Friday, November 6, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 12 fixture. Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville. Before kick-off, our model gave Sevilla a 50% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Alaves 21%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (18.0%), followed by 0-0 (14.4%) and 1-1 (12.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Sevilla have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Alaves have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 11. Sevilla therefore arrive in far better shape than Alaves. On average Sevilla score 2.00 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Alaves score 0.80 and concede 2.20. In the table, Sevilla sit 6th with 17 points from 11 games, Alaves 11th with 12 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sevilla have averaged 1.23 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.16 for Alaves.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sevilla, 2 for Alaves and 2 draws. The most recent ended Sevilla 1-1 Alaves (Feb 14, 2026). Sevilla out or doubtful: M. Bueno (suspended), Marcao, Peque, I. Romero (doubtful) and M. Sierra (doubtful). Alaves: M. Rodriguez. In double chance terms, "Sevilla or draw" stands at 79%, "Alaves or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 70%.
In short : Sevilla are favourites for this Sevilla v Alaves, with a 50% win probability from our model. On recent form, Sevilla have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Alaves have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. One to watch: Sevilla will be without M. Bueno and Marcao.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sevilla – Alaves. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (18.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 66% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sevilla 1-0 Alaves | 18.0% |
| Sevilla 0-0 Alaves | 14.4% |
| Sevilla 1-1 Alaves | 12.4% |
| Sevilla 2-0 Alaves | 11.2% |
| Sevilla 0-1 Alaves | 9.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.25 expected goals for Sevilla and 0.69 for Alaves, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 31% and "both teams to score" at 36%. Few goals are expected here. Sevilla keep a clean sheet in 50% of scenarios, Alaves in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sevilla expected goals | 1.25 |
| Alaves expected goals | 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 50% |
| Alaves clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sevilla
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hortaleza · Copa del Rey | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 3-3 | D |
Alaves
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 1-6 | L |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 6 | 17 | 11 |
| Alaves | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sevilla 1-1 Alaves | La Liga |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Alaves 1-0 Sevilla | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Alaves 1-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sevilla 1-1 Alaves | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Alaves 2-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Sevilla
- M. Bueno (suspended)
- Marcao (out)
- Peque (out)
- I. Romero (doubtful)
- M. Sierra (doubtful)
Alaves
- M. Rodriguez (out)
Most regular starters
Sevilla
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Suazo4/5
- O. Vlachodimos4/5
- Y. Fofana4/5
- R. Ure3/5
- Andrés Castrín2/5
- C. Ejuke2/5
- Castrin2/5
- F. Correia2/5
- Félix Correia2/5
- G. Kochorashvili2/5
- Isaac2/5
Alaves
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Rebbach5/5
- N. Tenaglia5/5
- A. Sivera4/5
- L. Boye4/5
- N. Valentini4/5
- P. Ibanez4/5
- V. Koski4/5
- A. Blanco3/5
- Jonny Otto3/5
- A. Perez2/5
- C. Alena2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 OsasunaNov 2, 2026
- Malaga 1-2 Racing SantanderNov 7, 2026
- Espanyol 0-0 Deportivo La CorunaNov 7, 2026
- Osasuna 1-1 Athletic ClubNov 7, 2026
- Valencia 0-3 Real MadridNov 7, 2026
- Elche 0-2 Real BetisNov 8, 2026
- Real Sociedad 1-0 Rayo VallecanoNov 8, 2026
- Villarreal 2-0 GetafeNov 8, 2026
- Celta Vigo 0-0 LevanteNov 8, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 1-2 BarcelonaNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sevilla vs Alaves prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Sevilla a 50% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Alaves 21%. Sevilla are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Sevilla vs Alaves?
1-0 (18.0%), followed by 0-0 (14.4%), 1-1 (12.4%), 2-0 (11.2%) and 0-1 (9.9%).
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Alaves?
The probability that both Sevilla and Alaves score is 36%. Sevilla have a 50% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Alaves 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Sevilla vs Alaves?
The model expects 1.94 goals (1.25 for Sevilla, 0.69 for Alaves). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 31%, over 3.5 goals 13%.
When and where is Sevilla vs Alaves played?
Friday, November 6, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 12. Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville.
What form are Sevilla and Alaves in?
Sevilla: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded). Alaves: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Alaves?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sevilla, 2 for Alaves and 2 draws. The most recent ended Sevilla 1-1 Alaves (Feb 14, 2026).
What was the Sevilla vs Alaves result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Sevilla 0-0 Alaves. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sevilla (50%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): correct.
How is the Sevilla vs Alaves prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.25 for Sevilla, 0.69 for Alaves) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.