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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 01:07 (UK time)

Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa prediction: correct score and AI tips

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas–NecaxaNecaxa

Match analysis

Liga MX: Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa kicks off on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 01:07 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Akron, Zapopan. Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 13% for the draw and 14% for Necaxa.

Over their last 5 matches, Guadalajara Chivas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Necaxa have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 12. Guadalajara Chivas therefore arrive in far better shape than Necaxa. On average Guadalajara Chivas score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Necaxa score 1.40 and concede 2.40. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas sit 5th with 19 points from 11 games, Necaxa 17th with 9 points from 12. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Guadalajara Chivas have averaged 2.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.25 for Necaxa.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guadalajara Chivas, 0 for Necaxa and 1 draw. The most recent ended Necaxa 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas (Apr 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Guadalajara Chivas or draw" stands at 86%, "Necaxa or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 87%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

73%
Guadalajara Chivas (Win)
13%
Draw
14%
Necaxa (Win)

Double chance

86%
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
27%
Necaxa or draw
87%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Guadalajara Chivas

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Atlas · Liga MX1-1D
Oct 5, 2026Club America · Club Friendlies2-0W
Sep 27, 2026Club Queretaro · Liga MX0-2L
Sep 20, 2026Club America · Liga MX2-2D
Sep 14, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX3-0W

Necaxa

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026CF Pachuca · Liga MX3-3D
Sep 28, 2026Club America · Liga MX2-4L
Sep 20, 2026Atletico San Luis · Liga MX1-3L
Sep 12, 2026Puebla · Liga MX0-1L
Sep 6, 2026Tigres UANL · Liga MX1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Guadalajara Chivas51911
Necaxa17912

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2026Necaxa 0-0 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
Sep 24, 2025Guadalajara Chivas 3-1 NecaxaLiga MX

Out and doubtful

Guadalajara Chivas

No absences reported.

Necaxa

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Guadalajara Chivas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Aguirre5/5
  • F. Gonzalez5/5
  • D. Campillo Del Campo4/5
  • R. Alvarado4/5
  • R. Marin4/5
  • A. Sepulveda3/5
  • B. Gutierrez3/5
  • L. Romo3/5
  • O. Govea3/5
  • R. Ledezma3/5
  • R. Rangel3/5

Necaxa

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Carranza5/5
  • P. Pedraza5/5
  • A. Oliveros4/5
  • L. Jimenez4/5
  • M. Espindola4/5
  • Naves4/5
  • O. Gonzalez4/5
  • R. Martinez4/5
  • J. Ruiz3/5
  • L. Faravelli3/5
  • C. Vargas2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa prediction?

Our AI gives Guadalajara Chivas a 73% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Necaxa 14%. Guadalajara Chivas are therefore favourites.

When and where is Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa played?

Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 01:07 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Akron, Zapopan.

What form are Guadalajara Chivas and Necaxa in?

Guadalajara Chivas: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Necaxa: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 12 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara Chivas and Necaxa?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guadalajara Chivas, 0 for Necaxa and 1 draw. The most recent ended Necaxa 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas (Apr 23, 2026).

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Key terms explained