Liga MX· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)
Puebla vs Monterrey prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Liga MX: Puebla vs Monterrey kicks off on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla. A draw is the single most likely outcome (45%), ahead of Puebla (37%) and Monterrey (18%).
Puebla have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Monterrey have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Monterrey. On average Puebla score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Monterrey score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Puebla sit 10th with 16 points from 12 games, Monterrey 11th with 14 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Puebla have averaged 0.63 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.40 for Monterrey.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Puebla, 2 for Monterrey and 0 draws. The most recent ended Monterrey 2-1 Puebla (Apr 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Puebla or draw" stands at 82%, "Monterrey or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 55%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Puebla
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leon · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlante FC · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Toluca · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Necaxa · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
Monterrey
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Toluca · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlante FC · Liga MX | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 10 | 16 | 12 |
| Monterrey | 11 | 14 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Monterrey 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Puebla 2-4 Monterrey | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Puebla
No absences reported.
Monterrey
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Puebla
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Organista5/5
- B. Garnica5/5
- D. Gutierrez5/5
- F. Almada5/5
- F. Monarrez5/5
- J. Vargas5/5
- C. Baltazar4/5
- M. Tomas4/5
- S. Sanabria4/5
- I. Maestro3/5
- J. R. Pachuca Martinez3/5
Monterrey
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Andrada4/4
- H. Cuypers4/4
- J. Corona4/4
- O. Torres4/4
- R. Chavez4/4
- C. Garza3/4
- C. Salcedo3/4
- G. Arteaga3/4
- O. Pineda3/4
- V. Guzman3/4
- A. Aceves2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Guadalajara Chivas – NecaxaOct 21, 2026
- FC Juarez – Atlante FCOct 21, 2026
- Atletico San Luis – Club QueretaroOct 21, 2026
- Tigres UANL – LeonOct 21, 2026
- Toluca – Club TijuanaOct 22, 2026
- Atlas – Club AmericaOct 22, 2026
- CF Pachuca – Cruz AzulOct 22, 2026
- Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - PumasOct 22, 2026
- Necaxa – FC JuarezOct 24, 2026
- Atlante FC – Atletico San LuisOct 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Puebla vs Monterrey prediction?
Our AI gives Puebla a 37% chance of winning, the draw 45% and Monterrey 18%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome.
When and where is Puebla vs Monterrey played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla.
What form are Puebla and Monterrey in?
Puebla: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). Monterrey: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Puebla and Monterrey?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Puebla, 2 for Monterrey and 0 draws. The most recent ended Monterrey 2-1 Puebla (Apr 22, 2026).
Go further
- All Puebla predictions
- All Monterrey predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Monterrey cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

