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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)

Puebla vs Monterrey prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Liga MX: Puebla vs Monterrey kicks off on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla. A draw is the single most likely outcome (45%), ahead of Puebla (37%) and Monterrey (18%).

Puebla have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Monterrey have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Monterrey. On average Puebla score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Monterrey score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Puebla sit 10th with 16 points from 12 games, Monterrey 11th with 14 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Puebla have averaged 0.63 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.40 for Monterrey.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Puebla, 2 for Monterrey and 0 draws. The most recent ended Monterrey 2-1 Puebla (Apr 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Puebla or draw" stands at 82%, "Monterrey or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 55%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Puebla (Win)
45%
Draw
18%
Monterrey (Win)

Double chance

82%
Puebla or draw
63%
Monterrey or draw
55%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Puebla

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Leon · Liga MX1-1D
Sep 27, 2026Tigres UANL · Liga MX0-1L
Sep 19, 2026Atlante FC · Liga MX1-1D
Sep 16, 2026Toluca · Liga MX0-1L
Sep 12, 2026Necaxa · Liga MX1-0W

Monterrey

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Club America · Liga MX1-1D
Oct 4, 2026Toluca · Club Friendlies2-1W
Sep 26, 2026Atlante FC · Liga MX2-4L
Sep 20, 2026Cruz Azul · Liga MX1-0W
Sep 13, 2026Tigres UANL · Liga MX0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Puebla101612
Monterrey111410

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Monterrey 2-1 PueblaLiga MX
Aug 30, 2025Puebla 2-4 MonterreyLiga MX

Out and doubtful

Puebla

No absences reported.

Monterrey

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Puebla

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Organista5/5
  • B. Garnica5/5
  • D. Gutierrez5/5
  • F. Almada5/5
  • F. Monarrez5/5
  • J. Vargas5/5
  • C. Baltazar4/5
  • M. Tomas4/5
  • S. Sanabria4/5
  • I. Maestro3/5
  • J. R. Pachuca Martinez3/5

Monterrey

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Andrada4/4
  • H. Cuypers4/4
  • J. Corona4/4
  • O. Torres4/4
  • R. Chavez4/4
  • C. Garza3/4
  • C. Salcedo3/4
  • G. Arteaga3/4
  • O. Pineda3/4
  • V. Guzman3/4
  • A. Aceves2/4

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Puebla vs Monterrey prediction?

Our AI gives Puebla a 37% chance of winning, the draw 45% and Monterrey 18%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome.

When and where is Puebla vs Monterrey played?

Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla.

What form are Puebla and Monterrey in?

Puebla: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). Monterrey: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Puebla and Monterrey?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Puebla, 2 for Monterrey and 0 draws. The most recent ended Monterrey 2-1 Puebla (Apr 22, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained