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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 04:00 (UK time)

Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction: correct score and AI tips

Tigres UANLTigres UANL–LeonLeon

Match analysis

Liga MX: Tigres UANL vs Leon kicks off on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 04:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Tigres UANL 34%, Leon 44% and the draw 22%.

Over their last 5 matches, Tigres UANL have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Leon have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Tigres UANL score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Leon score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Tigres UANL sit 13th with 13 points from 11 games, Leon 6th with 18 points from 11. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Tigres UANL have averaged 1.73 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.81 for Leon.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Tigres UANL, 0 for Leon and 1 draw. The most recent ended Leon 1-2 Tigres UANL (Feb 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "Tigres UANL or draw" stands at 56%, "Leon or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

34%
Tigres UANL (Win)
22%
Draw
44%
Leon (Win)

Double chance

56%
Tigres UANL or draw
66%
Leon or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Tigres UANL

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Toluca · Liga MX3-2W
Sep 27, 2026Puebla · Liga MX1-0W
Sep 19, 2026FC Juarez · Liga MX0-2L
Sep 13, 2026Monterrey · Liga MX0-0D
Sep 6, 2026Necaxa · Liga MX1-1D

Leon

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Puebla · Liga MX1-1D
Sep 28, 2026FC Juarez · Liga MX2-1W
Sep 21, 2026Club Queretaro · Liga MX1-1D
Sep 15, 2026Atletico San Luis · Liga MX2-0W
Sep 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX1-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Tigres UANL131311
Leon61811

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Leon 1-2 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Sep 14, 2025Tigres UANL 0-0 LeonLiga MX

Out and doubtful

Tigres UANL

No absences reported.

Leon

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Tigres UANL

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Franco5/5
  • J. Brunetta5/5
  • Joaquim5/5
  • N. Guzman5/5
  • F. Gorriaran4/5
  • M. Lainez4/5
  • D. Lainez3/5
  • J. Garza3/5
  • R. Aguirre3/5
  • R. Monreal3/5
  • C. Araujo2/5

Leon

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Moreno5/5
  • J. Romana5/5
  • D. Cambindo4/5
  • I. Rodriguez4/5
  • J. Cortizo4/5
  • J. Guevara4/5
  • D. Arcila3/5
  • F. Beltran Cruz3/5
  • I. Diaz3/5
  • J. Lara3/5
  • O. Garcia3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction?

Our AI gives Tigres UANL a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leon 44%. Leon are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Tigres UANL vs Leon played?

Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 04:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza.

What form are Tigres UANL and Leon in?

Tigres UANL: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Leon: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Tigres UANL and Leon?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Tigres UANL, 0 for Leon and 1 draw. The most recent ended Leon 1-2 Tigres UANL (Feb 1, 2026).

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