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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)

Toluca vs Club Tijuana prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Toluca take on Club Tijuana on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca. Toluca start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Club Tijuana are given 25% and the draw 25%.

Toluca have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Club Tijuana have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Toluca score 1.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Club Tijuana score 1.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Toluca sit 3rd with 20 points from 11 games, Club Tijuana 8th with 16 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Toluca have averaged 1.24 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.24 for Club Tijuana.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Toluca, 0 for Club Tijuana and 1 draw. The most recent ended Toluca 1-0 Club Tijuana (Feb 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Toluca or draw" stands at 75%, "Club Tijuana or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Toluca (Win)
25%
Draw
25%
Club Tijuana (Win)

Double chance

75%
Toluca or draw
50%
Club Tijuana or draw
75%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Toluca

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Tigres UANL · Liga MX2-3L
Oct 4, 2026Monterrey · Club Friendlies1-2L
Sep 26, 2026Cruz Azul · Liga MX3-3D
Sep 21, 2026Santos Laguna · Liga MX2-3L
Sep 16, 2026Puebla · Liga MX1-0W

Club Tijuana

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026FC Juarez · Liga MX1-1D
Sep 26, 2026Atlas · Liga MX2-3L
Sep 21, 2026CF Pachuca · Liga MX2-2D
Sep 12, 2026Club Queretaro · Liga MX0-1L
Aug 29, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Toluca32011
Club Tijuana81611

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Toluca 1-0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
Oct 23, 2025Club Tijuana 0-0 TolucaLiga MX

Out and doubtful

Toluca

No absences reported.

Club Tijuana

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Toluca

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • Bruno Mendez4/4
  • F. Pereira4/4
  • L. Garcia4/4
  • N. Castro4/4
  • Paulinho4/4
  • A. Vega3/4
  • D. Barbosa3/4
  • J. Gallardo3/4
  • B. A. Garcia Caprizo2/4
  • E. del Villar2/4
  • F. Romero2/4

Club Tijuana

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Gomez5/5
  • A. Preciado5/5
  • A. Rodriguez5/5
  • A. Vega5/5
  • I. Tona5/5
  • M. El Ghezouani5/5
  • J. Porozo4/5
  • R. Arciga4/5
  • F. Gonzalez3/5
  • G. Mora3/5
  • Y. Padilla3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Toluca vs Club Tijuana prediction?

Our AI gives Toluca a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Club Tijuana 25%. Toluca are therefore favourites.

When and where is Toluca vs Club Tijuana played?

Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

What form are Toluca and Club Tijuana in?

Toluca: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 11 conceded). Club Tijuana: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Club Tijuana?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Toluca, 0 for Club Tijuana and 1 draw. The most recent ended Toluca 1-0 Club Tijuana (Feb 14, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained