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Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)

Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction: correct score and AI tips

Leones del NorteLeones del Norte–LibertadLibertad

Match analysis

Ecuadorian Liga Pro: the Leones del Norte vs Libertad match is scheduled on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra. Our model makes Libertad clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 10% for Leones del Norte.

Leones del Norte have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Libertad have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Libertad therefore arrive in far better shape than Leones del Norte. On average Leones del Norte score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Libertad score 2.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Leones del Norte sit 10th with 40 points from 33 games, Libertad 7th with 50 points from 33. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Leones del Norte have averaged 0.76 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.04 for Libertad.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Leones del Norte, 0 for Libertad and 2 draws. The most recent ended Libertad 0-0 Leones del Norte (Oct 9, 2026). In double chance terms, "Leones del Norte or draw" stands at 27%, "Libertad or draw" at 90% and "no draw" at 83%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

10%
Leones del Norte (Win)
17%
Draw
73%
Libertad (Win)

Double chance

27%
Leones del Norte or draw
90%
Libertad or draw
83%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Leones del Norte

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Emelec · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-3L
Oct 9, 2026Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-3L
Sep 19, 2026Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Sep 13, 2026Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-1L
Sep 8, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D

Libertad

DateOpponentScore
Oct 17, 2026Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro4-0W
Oct 9, 2026Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro3-0W
Sep 20, 2026Emelec · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-1W
Sep 14, 2026Independiente del Valle · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-3L
Sep 7, 2026Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Leones del Norte104033
Libertad75033

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Libertad 0-0 Leones del NorteLiga Pro
Jul 4, 2026Libertad 1-3 Leones del NorteLiga Pro
Feb 28, 2026Leones del Norte 1-1 LibertadLiga Pro

Out and doubtful

Leones del Norte

No absences reported.

Libertad

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Leones del Norte

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Emiliano Griffa4/5
  • Cristhian Solano3/5
  • Juan Anangonó3/5
  • Leonel Nazareno3/5
  • Mauro Luque3/5
  • Nicolás Monserrat3/5
  • Patricio Madero3/5
  • Tobías Coppo3/5
  • B. Kreiman2/5
  • C. Solano2/5
  • Elián Pepinós2/5

Libertad

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Caicedo3/5
  • D. Cabezas3/5
  • E. Patta3/5
  • R. Morinigo3/5
  • A. Chére2/5
  • Antony Chére2/5
  • Carlos Gruezo2/5
  • Cristhian Valencia2/5
  • Dany Coronel2/5
  • David Cabezas2/5
  • Elvis Patta2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction?

Our AI gives Leones del Norte a 10% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Libertad 73%. Libertad are therefore favourites.

When and where is Leones del Norte vs Libertad played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra.

What form are Leones del Norte and Libertad in?

Leones del Norte: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Libertad: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Leones del Norte and Libertad?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Leones del Norte, 0 for Libertad and 2 draws. The most recent ended Libertad 0-0 Leones del Norte (Oct 9, 2026).

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Key terms explained